一种基于模型-数据混合驱动的综合能源系统区间状态估计方法

By employing a model-data hybrid approach, utilizing the artificial fish swarm method and long short-term memory neural networks, combined with kernel density estimation, the uncertainty problem in data transmission and equipment measurement in integrated energy systems was solved. This resulted in highly accurate and efficient interval state estimation, ensuring stable system operation.

CN115271443BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17CHANGSHA UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
CHANGSHA UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Filing Date
2022-07-28
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing technologies lack consideration for the uncertainties in data transmission and equipment measurement in integrated energy systems, resulting in a lack of reliability in point state estimation and affecting the safe and reliable operation of the system.

Method used

A model-data hybrid approach is adopted, which uses the artificial fish swarm method to solve the point state estimation model and obtains the direct mapping relationship between the measurement data and the interval state estimation results through the long short-term memory neural network. Combined with kernel density estimation to fit the error probability distribution, the interval state estimation is realized.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and timeliness of interval state estimation for integrated energy systems, reduces the computation time for online applications, and ensures the safe and reliable operation of the system.

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Abstract

一种基于模型‑数据混合驱动的综合能源系统区间状态估计方法,先采集综合能源系统历史量测数据;再建立综合能源系统点状态估计模型,将历史量测数据送至模型中,利用人工鱼群法求解点状态估计值;接着以点状态真值与点状态估计值之间的误差为基础,采用核密度估计拟合误差的概率分布反函数,得到不同置信度的估计误差区间,计算出不同置信度下的综合能源系统区间状态估计结果;然后以历史量测数据与区间状态估计结果作为样本数据,训练长短期记忆神经网络,得到综合能源系统区间状态估计模型;最后将实时量测数据输入区间状态估计模型中,得到综合能源系统实时区间状态估计结果。本发明可有效提升综合能源系统区间状态估计的准确性与时效性。
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