分布式光伏功率智能预测方法及装置

By training a prediction model for photovoltaic power plants and using target training data of different weather types, the impact of weather conditions on photovoltaic power parameters is reduced, the accuracy of photovoltaic power prediction is improved, and the timely dispatch of the power grid and the stability of users' electricity consumption are ensured.

CN116247651BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17SHENZHEN COMTOP INFORMATION TECH

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
SHENZHEN COMTOP INFORMATION TECH
Filing Date
2022-12-16
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing photovoltaic power forecasting technologies are easily affected by weather conditions, resulting in low forecast accuracy and difficulty in timely grid dispatching, which affects the normal operation of the grid and users' electricity consumption.

Method used

By identifying target training data for different weather types, a prediction model is trained. This model uses the current weather type of the photovoltaic power station to predict future photovoltaic power parameters, reducing the impact of weather conditions on photovoltaic power parameters and improving prediction accuracy.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy of photovoltaic power prediction, enables timely adjustments to grid dispatch, and ensures normal grid operation and normal power consumption for users.

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Abstract

本发明公开了一种分布式光伏功率智能预测方法及装置,该方法包括:根据预先确定出的用于训练的所有天气类型的目标训练数据,训练预设的待训练预测模型,得到训练后预测模型,并判断训练后预测模型是否收敛,若是,则将训练后预测模型确定为目标预测模型;该目标预测模型用于预测光伏电站的未来光伏功率参数。可见,实施本发明能够训练出用于预测未来光伏功率参数的预测模型,以智能化地依据光伏电站的当前天气类型对未来光伏功率参数进行预测,这样,有利于降低天气情况对光伏功率参数造成的影响程度,进而有利于提高预测出的未来光伏功率参数,从而有利于依据未来光伏功率参数及时地对电网进行调度,使得电网能够正常运行,保障用户正常用电。
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