基于图卷机网络的多元时间序列预测模型及方法

By using a multivariate time series forecasting model based on a graph roll machine network, the problem of complex dependencies in multivariate time series forecasting is solved, achieving efficient capture of temporal and spatial dependencies and improving forecast accuracy and speed.

CN116485005BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17NORTHWEST UNIV
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Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
NORTHWEST UNIV
Filing Date
2023-03-14
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

In multivariate time series forecasting, existing technologies struggle to effectively capture the dependencies between time and spatial scales, resulting in insufficient forecast accuracy. In particular, recurrent neural networks (RNNs) suffer from the vanishing gradient problem and do not support parallel computing, which affects both forecast speed and accuracy.

Method used

A multivariate time series prediction model based on graph convolutional neural network is adopted, including a correlation layer, a graph filtering layer, a time series processing layer, and a prediction layer. The graph filter is constructed by GRU module, Attention module, Laplace module, and Cheb module. Combined with dual time series processing layer and fully connected neural network, parallel processing and efficient prediction of multivariate time series are achieved.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and speed of multivariate time series forecasting, effectively captures temporal and spatial dependencies, and enhances forecast precision and efficiency.

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Abstract

本发明公开了一种基于图卷机网络的多元时间序列预测模型及方法,模型包括依次相连接的相关性层、图滤波层、时序处理层和预测层;所述相关性层包括依次相连接的GRU模块、Attention模块、Laplace模块和Cheb模块;所述图滤波层包括图滤波模块用于根据输入原始多元时间序列和相关性层得到的图滤波器,计算得到所述双重时序处理层包括堆叠的两个时序处理层;所述预测层用于对双重时序处理层的输出数据采用全连接神经网络进行处理,得到预测层的输出。本发明的模型和方法能同时处理多个时间序列并输出预测结果,采用了考虑不同序列间关系的处理方式,有效地提升了最终的预测精度。
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