一种城市中未来PM2.5浓度预测方法和系统

By combining the spatiotemporal attention mechanism of temporal convolutional networks and long short-term memory networks, a combined model is constructed, which solves the complexity and error problems of PM2.5 concentration prediction in existing technologies and achieves efficient and accurate urban air quality prediction.

CN118366564BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17XINJIANG UNIVERSITY

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
XINJIANG UNIVERSITY
Filing Date
2024-03-21
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing PM2.5 concentration prediction models suffer from high complexity, large computational load, large prediction errors, and insufficient applicability and universality, making it difficult to accurately predict urban air pollution.

Method used

A combined model is constructed by using a temporal convolutional network (TCN) and a long short-term memory network (LSTM) with a spatiotemporal attention mechanism. Features are selected by Pearson correlation coefficient, and data preprocessing and feature extraction are performed. The results are predicted using an adaptive weighted fusion model based on root mean square error.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and efficiency of PM2.5 concentration prediction, reduces model complexity, enhances the reliability and applicability of prediction, and achieves high-precision urban air quality prediction.

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Abstract

本发明公开了一种城市中未来PM2.5浓度预测方法及系统,包括:利用Pearson相关系数,构建PM2.5浓度与其它气体浓度、气象特征的相关系数矩阵,对输入变量之间的线性关系进行评估,确定LSTM网络模型和引入时空注意力机制的TCN组合模型输入特征;引入时空注意力机制,提取城市污染物浓度序列数据集中每一时间步之间的时间依赖关系以及每一时间步中的输入特征之间的关系;构建LSTM网络模型和引入时空注意力机制的TCN组合模型;利用所提出模型进行输入特征的提取和融合,进行模型训练参数调优后,以空气污染物浓度和气象数据作为训练好的预测模型输入进行预测,使用两个模型的均方根误差,进行自适应反比加权融合两个网络模型预测结果得到最终预测结果。装置包括:处理器和存储器。
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