A load prediction method and system based on distribution transformer area under multiple loads

CN119275834BActive Publication Date: 2026-01-27STATE GRID TIANJIN ELECTRIC POWER CO CHENGXI POWER SUPPLY BRANCH +2
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Patent Information

Application Number
CN202411636069.3
Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
Filing Date
2024-11-15
Publication Date
2026-01-27
Estimated Expiration
2044-11-15

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Abstract

The application discloses a kind of based on multiple load under distribution transformer area load prediction method and system, wherein, method includes following: the prediction time of distribution transformer area to be tested is divided into 12 time periods according to month;The historical electric power data in each time period is counted;The historical meteorological data in each time period is counted;Based on the historical electric power data and historical meteorological data, data processing is carried out, and the predicted average load P of the area under multiple load is output;According to the predicted average load P, load prediction analysis is carried out, and prediction analysis result is output;The application is based on the historical power consumption data of distribution transformer area and the number of newly added charging pile, and the influence of load side such as photovoltaic, wind power is considered, the change of distribution transformer load rate under multiple load is combined with historical data, and the accuracy and reliability of distribution transformer area electric power load prediction are improved.
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