Method, device and equipment for predicting technical path of power system and medium

Abstract

The invention provides a power system technology path prediction method and device, equipment and a medium, and the method comprises the steps: determining a corresponding analysis scene based on a power analysis demand in a planning time range, and determining the reduction potential of the renewable energy investment cost; inputting the reduction potential into a pre-constructed optimization model, and calculating the total power generation minimum cost corresponding to the planning time range by taking the minimization of the total cost of each time period in the planning time range as a target; and performing model solving on the optimization model based on a mathematical optimization solver, and determining a power system technical path corresponding to the total power generation minimum cost in the analysis scene by using a linear programming method. According to the method and the device, regional cost reduction potential measurement and calculation and regional novel power system technical path planning are integrated, a dynamic optimization model with the optimal cost is constructed, a related technical path for realizing cost minimization is given, and powerful support is provided for large-scale development and utilization of renewable energy sources.

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