一种基于原型引导的流匹配的多模态时序预测方法

By employing a prototype-guided flow matching method and utilizing a multi-head self-attention mechanism and flow matching network, the problems of multimodal data fusion and deterministic prediction are solved, achieving both accuracy and probabilistic prediction in weather forecasts. This method is applicable to weather forecasts in data-scarce regions and for new forecast elements.

CN121301951BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17EAST CHINA NORMAL UNIV

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
EAST CHINA NORMAL UNIV
Filing Date
2025-09-24
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing meteorological forecasting methods are insufficient in terms of multimodal data fusion and deterministic forecasting capabilities, making it difficult to achieve accurate and probabilistic forecasts in data-scarce regions or with new forecast elements.

Method used

A prototype-guided flow matching method is adopted, which extracts the temporal representation of multimodal information through a multi-head self-attention mechanism and generates future temporal prediction results, while calculating the probability distribution of the prediction results.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and probabilistic prediction capabilities of weather forecasts, enabling rapid adaptation to the forecasting needs of new regions and new forecast elements under zero-sample or low-sample conditions.

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Abstract

本发明公开了一种基于原型引导的流匹配的多模态时序预测方法,包括以下步骤:获取目标区域预设时长内关于降雨量的多模态信息,进行序列化处理,得到相应的表征信息;采用模态引导的多头自注意力机制,提取表征信息中时序与文本和图像的关联,得到模态引导的时序表征和多模态表征;基于预先构建的条件解码器,结合多模态表征,生成用于时间流匹配的条件表征;通过原型检索为条件表征生成预测原型,作为时间流匹配的起点,基于原型引导的流匹配网络,添加随机噪声并通过速度场调整,得到气象预测中降雨量走势的概率分布。本发明结合时序数据、文本数据和图像数据,通过模态引导的注意力机制和原型引导的流匹配机制,实现了准确的时序预测。
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