基于时空注意力LSTM的负荷需求预测方法、模型和构建方法

By capturing the correlation between renewable energy output and load demand changes using a spatiotemporal attention LSTM model, the problem of insufficient load forecasting accuracy in high-proportion renewable energy scenarios is solved, achieving more accurate load demand forecasting and supporting reliable power system dispatch.

CN121546554BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17山东智源电力设计咨询有限公司 +2

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
山东智源电力设计咨询有限公司
Filing Date
2025-11-25
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Traditional load forecasting methods struggle to effectively mine spatiotemporal multidimensional information in scenarios with a high proportion of renewable energy, leading to a significant decrease in forecast accuracy.

Method used

A load demand forecasting method based on spatiotemporal attention LSTM is adopted. The spatiotemporal attention model adaptively captures the multidimensional correlation characteristics of new energy output, charging and discharging regulation and load demand changes, and uses LSTM network to learn its long-term time series dependencies to build a forecasting model.

Benefits of technology

It significantly improves the accuracy of load forecasting, provides a more reliable basis for power system dispatch and energy management, and adapts to multi-scale spatiotemporal dynamic changes in scenarios with a high proportion of new energy sources.

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Abstract

本发明提供了一种基于时空注意力LSTM的负荷需求预测方法、模型和构建方法,预测方法包括获取新能源出力数据和充放电调节数据;根据新能源出力数据、充放电调节数据和预测模型获得负荷需求预测结果;预测模型根据历史数据和损失函数训练初始预测模型获得;初始预测模型基于时空注意力模型和LSTM网络构建;历史数据包括历史新能源出力数据、历史充放电调节数据和历史负荷需求数据;时空注意力模型基于历史数据构建。该方法通过时空注意力模型自适应捕捉新能源出力、充放电调节及负荷需求变化等多维因素的时空关联特性,并利用LSTM网络学习新能源出力、充放电调节及负荷需求变化等多维因素的长期时序依赖关系,实现负荷需求的精准预测。
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