适配解析传播模型的两行根数生成方法及轨道预测方法

By adapting the analytical propagation model through iterative optimization and least squares fitting, the problems of model incompatibility and insufficient accuracy in existing TLE parameter generation methods are solved, achieving high-precision orbital element conversion and prediction, which is suitable for satellite cataloging management and constellation control.

CN121597956BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17BEIJING UNIV OF POSTS & TELECOMM

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
BEIJING UNIV OF POSTS & TELECOMM
Filing Date
2025-10-21
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing TLE parameter generation methods rely on simplified analytical models, resulting in insufficient accuracy in mechanical modeling and long-term propagation capability, making it difficult to achieve high-precision orbit prediction. In particular, the models are incompatible and the errors diverge significantly in commercial aerospace and large-scale satellite management scenarios.

Method used

By adopting an adaptive analytical propagation model, and through multiple iterations of optimization and least squares fitting, a cost function and Jacobian matrix are constructed to invert atmospheric drag parameters, thereby achieving high-precision conversion and adaptive enhancement of orbital elements, and adapting to various orbital dynamics models.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and stability of orbit prediction, achieves high-precision parameter conversion and compatibility between different models, and supports highly reliable orbit prediction in various scenarios such as satellite cataloging management and long-term constellation control.

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Abstract

本申请提供一种适配解析传播模型的两行根数生成方法及轨道预测方法,方法包括:获取各个历元时刻的历史吻切轨道根数,利用解析传播模型对各个历史吻切轨道根数执行多个迭代轮次的轨道根数优化步骤,以获得各个历元时刻目标吻切轨道根数,并使得历史吻切轨道根数与目标吻切轨道根数相同,反演出平均轨道根数;提取各平均轨道根数的各个平均半长轴,采用最小二乘方法拟合各个平均半长轴以得到半长轴衰减率,反演半长轴衰减率以得到大气阻力参数,将大气阻力参数等效转换为两行根数中的标准阻力项,以得到两行根数。本申请能够解决两行根数生成过程中存在的模型不一致、残差不敏感以及参数不可物理解释等问题,并提高星历外推轨道预测精度。
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