基于物理特性自动预测雷电的集成学习方法及存储介质

By employing ensemble learning methods and combining multiple meteorological elements and physical characteristics, an ensemble learning model was constructed, which solved the problems of accuracy and reliability in short-term lightning forecasting under complex conditions, and achieved efficient lightning forecasting.

CN122047559BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17SICHUAN METEOROLOGICAL DISASTER PREVENTION TECH CENT +2

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
SICHUAN METEOROLOGICAL DISASTER PREVENTION TECH CENT
Filing Date
2026-03-23
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing short-term lightning prediction methods lack generalization ability under complex meteorological conditions. Single deep learning models are unable to fully capture the complex physical processes and multi-scale characteristics of lightning occurrence, resulting in poor prediction accuracy and reliability.

Method used

An ensemble learning method for automatic lightning prediction based on physical characteristics is constructed. The ensemble learning model is trained by input data of multiple meteorological elements, including a prediction module, a base learner module, and a meta learner module. It integrates long short-term memory network and Transformer network, and combines fully convolutional neural network, U-Net network and threshold matrix of lightning-related physical features to achieve end-to-end learning for lightning prediction.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and reliability of short-term lightning prediction, enhances the model's predictive stability and physical interpretability in variable environments, and forms a hybrid prediction framework that combines the advantages of physical understanding and data mining.

✦ Generated by Eureka AI based on patent content.

Smart Images

  • Figure CN122047559B_ABST
    Figure CN122047559B_ABST
Patent Text Reader

Abstract

本发明涉及大气探测中多源气象观测技术领域,公开了一种基于物理特性自动预测雷电的集成学习方法及存储介质,方法包括:确定用于模型训练的多类气象要素输入数据和对应的雷电标签数据,并进行时空匹配及数据集的划分;通过多类气象要素输入数据和对应的雷电标签数据对集成学习模型进行训练,集成学习模型包括依次连接的预测模块、基学习器模块和元学习器模块;将待雷电预测区域的实时多类气象要素数据输入训练完成的集成学习模型,获取未来1至6小时的雷电预测结果。通过上述方法,本发明能够自动、高效、精准地预测1到6小时内是否有雷电的情况。
Need to check novelty before this filing date? Find Prior Art