基于决策树模型的用电负荷异常模式智能识别方法

By constructing a method for identifying abnormal power load patterns using a decision tree model, this method solves the problem of joint analysis of multiple load gap scenarios, achieves quantitative identification of reversals, jumps, and deviations, and provides explainable causes of anomalies and rapid verification support.

CN122072682BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17HUNAN ZHONGQINGNENG TECH CO LTD

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
HUNAN ZHONGQINGNENG TECH CO LTD
Filing Date
2026-04-21
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing technologies lack joint analysis of multiple gap scenarios when identifying abnormal power load patterns, making it difficult to identify reverse sequence problems, accurately reflect differences in user adjustability, and lack quantification of the amplitude of jumps in adjacent scenarios and the overall degree of deviation. Their classification capabilities are insufficient and it is difficult to explain the causes of anomalies.

Method used

A decision tree-based approach is adopted. By constructing a comparable daily set, a baseline load and low-level boundary are formed. The maximum adjustable depth is calculated, a reference control boundary is generated, multi-dimensional boundary features are constructed, and a monotonically adjustable boundary decision tree is used for cluster localization and anomaly screening to output anomaly pattern categories.

Benefits of technology

It achieves robust identification of multiple gap scenarios, accurately reflects the user's adjustable capabilities, can quantify the degree of reversal, jump and deviation, provide explainable reasons for anomalies, and support rapid verification and correction.

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Abstract

本发明涉及电力系统负荷管理技术领域,且公开了基于决策树模型的用电负荷异常模式智能识别方法。采集历史负荷功率与五档申报控制后功率并筛选,构建与目标日匹配的可比日并配置场景比例;按离散时段形成基准、低位边界与最大可调深度,生成参考边界及参考可调电量序列;换算申报可调电量序列并计算逆序、跳变、偏离与首末差等特征,构造单调可调边界决策树,叶内形成分值与阈值筛选异常,按最大偏差分量给出模式,输出序列、定位与分场景异常名单。该方案能够降低日型混用与全日粗估带来的边界计算偏差,提高多场景申报边界识别精度和场景化负荷边界参数配置一致性,降低异常边界进入负荷调控计划的概率。
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