一种考虑高风速下消亡过程的赤潮短期趋势预测方法

By constructing a stochastic diffusion model that considers the properties of algal clusters and a high-wind-speed decay algorithm, the problem of inaccurate simulation of the red tide decay process under high wind speeds in red tide migration prediction models has been solved. This has enabled accurate prediction of short-term red tide trends and accurate delineation of affected areas, providing technical support for the scientific management of red tides.

CN122132677BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17BEIHAI FORECASTING CENT OF STATE OCEANIC ADMINISTRATION ((QINGDAO MARINE FORECASTING STATION OF STATE OCEANIC ADMINISTRATION) (QINGDAO MARINE ENVIRONMENT MONITORING CENT OF STATE OCEANIC ADMINISTRATION))

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
BEIHAI FORECASTING CENT OF STATE OCEANIC ADMINISTRATION ((QINGDAO MARINE FORECASTING STATION OF STATE OCEANIC ADMINISTRATION) (QINGDAO MARINE ENVIRONMENT MONITORING CENT OF STATE OCEANIC ADMINISTRATION))
Filing Date
2026-04-30
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing red tide migration prediction models cannot accurately simulate the dissipation process and spatial distribution of red tides under high wind speed conditions, resulting in high uncertainty in prediction results and failing to effectively guide the forecasting of red tide-affected areas.

Method used

By constructing a stochastic diffusion model that considers the properties of algal masses and combining it with a high-wind-speed decay algorithm, the migration and decay process of red tide algal masses under the action of ocean dynamics is simulated. Using ocean dynamics and meteorological model forecast data as driving fields, stochastic diffusion algorithms and high-wind-speed algal mass decay algorithms are developed to predict the range of red tide influence.

Benefits of technology

It enables accurate prediction of short-term red tide trends under high wind speed conditions, accurately simulates algal cluster distribution and the range of red tide influence, provides scientific decision-making assistance, and improves the accuracy and reliability of red tide forecasting.

✦ Generated by Eureka AI based on patent content.

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Abstract

本发明公开一种考虑高风速下消亡过程的赤潮短期趋势预测方法,属于赤潮发展趋势预测领域。该方法包括以下步骤:S1、获取赤潮初始分布区域,将赤潮用多个藻团表征,确定初始藻团数量和每个藻团的初始位置;S2、确定风速阈值和持续时长阈值;在藻团漂移过程中,进行藻团消亡状态判定,更新当前存活的藻团计数;S3、构建藻团迁移模型,对于S2中判定为存活的藻团,依据所构建的藻团迁移模型进行位置更新;S4、重复S2和S3,完成考虑高风速下消亡过程的赤潮短期趋势预测。本发明能够更精准地对藻团分布、赤潮影响范围进行短期趋势预测,为赤潮的科学有效处置提供决策辅助和技术支撑。
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