建筑暖通系统负荷信息的预测方法和装置

By constructing a loss function that includes prediction error information and dynamically adjustable constraint information, an initial prediction model is established and regression coefficients are updated in real time. This solves the problem of data scarcity in new building projects and achieves high-precision load prediction and adaptive capabilities.

CN122133112BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17TIANJIN UNIV

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
TIANJIN UNIV
Filing Date
2026-05-06
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

In new building projects, due to the fact that building energy efficiency equipment has not been fully put into operation and data acquisition equipment has not been fully installed, historical data is scarce. Existing technologies are difficult to apply to building renovation and new projects, resulting in low efficiency and accuracy of energy efficiency management and equipment control, and difficulty in quickly adjusting operating strategies.

Method used

By constructing a loss function based on prediction error information and constraint information with dynamically adjustable intensity, multiple initial regression coefficients are solved to establish an initial prediction model. The regression coefficients are then updated in real time based on the current error to form a prediction model, enabling online incremental learning, adapting to nonlinear changes in the environment and load, and continuously tracking the dynamic characteristics of the system.

Benefits of technology

Under conditions of limited data, this method improves the accuracy and time series adaptability of load forecasting results, solves the problem of adaptive load forecasting in the case of scarce data, and achieves accurate forecasting with low computational complexity.

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Abstract

本发明提供了一种建筑暖通系统负荷信息的预测方法和装置,可以应用于智慧建筑和建筑能效控制技术领域。该方法包括:基于建筑暖通系统的多个在前运行信息,得到用于预测负荷信息的初始预测模型,初始预测模型具有用于指示多个在前运行信息各自重要程度的多个初始回归系数,多个初始回归系数基于包含预测误差信息和约束信息的损失函数得到;响应于接收到当前运行信息,基于当前运行信息中的当前负荷信息与初始预测模型输出的当前预测负荷信息之间的当前误差,更新多个初始回归系数,得到预测模型;基于在前时段中多个在前时刻的在前误差和在前误差的修正系数,更新预测模型输出的预测负荷信息,得到更新负荷信息,作为建筑暖通系统的负荷预测结果。
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