可再生能源发电功率预测方法及装置、系统、存储介质

By acquiring multi-source datasets, screening target meteorological influencing factors, constructing a graph structure, and using graph neural networks for data fusion, the bias problem caused by neglecting factors in existing photovoltaic power generation prediction methods is solved, improving the accuracy and stability of predictions and adapting to different photovoltaic power station layouts and meteorological conditions.

CN122136827BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17BEIJING PAUWAY ENERGY & TECH CO LTD

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
BEIJING PAUWAY ENERGY & TECH CO LTD
Filing Date
2026-05-06
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing photovoltaic power generation forecasting methods ignore various factors such as temperature, weather changes, and equipment status, resulting in a large deviation between the forecast results and the actual power generation, which affects the accuracy of photovoltaic power generation forecasting.

Method used

By acquiring multi-source datasets, target meteorological influencing factors are screened out, a graph structure is constructed, and graph neural networks are used to adjust temporal and spatial correlations. Data fusion is then performed, and predictions are made in conjunction with different photovoltaic power prediction models.

Benefits of technology

It significantly improves the accuracy and stability of photovoltaic power generation prediction, enhances the model's adaptability to complex and ever-changing actual operating environments, reduces input noise, and adapts to the layout differences of different photovoltaic power plants and the dynamic changes in meteorological conditions.

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Abstract

本申请提供了一种可再生能源发电功率预测方法及装置、系统、存储介质,属于可再生能源发电技术领域,该方法包括获取多源数据集,多源数据集包括各个光伏组件的发电功率数据和空间特征数据,以及光伏发电系统所属区域的区域气象数据;对气象影响因子进行筛选,得到目标气象影响因子;以各个光伏组件的地理位置为节点,各个光伏组件的空间特征数据与各个光伏组件的发电功率数据之间的时间关联关系和空间关联关系为边,构建图结构;利用图神经网络对图结构中的时间关联关系和空间关联关系进行调整后,对多源数据集进行融合得到融合特征集;基于融合特征集和光伏功率预测模型得到发电功率预测结果。本申请可以提高光伏发电功率预测的准确性。
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