一种考虑高低空气象因子与地形条件影响的机器学习驱动电线覆冰预测方法、介质及程序产品

By fusing multi-source data to construct multi-dimensional feature vectors and performing spatiotemporal registration, and using machine learning models to predict icing levels, the problems of scarce samples, data source differences, and insufficient terrain effects in existing technologies have been solved, enabling reliable icing early warning and graded output for transmission line corridors.

CN122153660BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17PUBLIC METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CENT OF CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
PUBLIC METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE CENT OF CHINA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION
Filing Date
2026-05-07
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing icing prediction technologies suffer from problems such as sample scarcity and imbalance, generalization instability caused by differences in data sources, insufficient representation of local topographic effects, and difficulty in balancing the operational constraints of multi-level early warning systems under the background of multi-source observation and reanalysis, making it difficult to achieve reliable prediction and representation of transmission line corridors.

Method used

By integrating ground-based low-altitude meteorological observations, multi-baric-layer reanalysis, and digital elevation model data, a multi-dimensional feature vector is constructed. Spatiotemporal registration and consistency processing are performed to establish a stable model and prediction of icing levels. Machine learning models are used for training and parameter tuning to output icing risk classification early warnings.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and stability of icing level prediction, reduces the risk of missed and false alarms, enhances cross-regional and cross-time period application capabilities, and meets the needs of power grid operation safety.

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Abstract

本发明公开了一种考虑高低空气象因子与地形条件影响的机器学习驱动电线覆冰预测方法、介质及程序产品,涉及电力气象灾害预测与智能计算交叉技术领域。该方法面向输电线路走廊,获取覆冰事件记录及地面观测、多气压层再分析或数值预报和数字高程模型数据;以事件时刻设置时间窗口并按空间邻域规则完成时空配准;构造包含低空气象因子、高空气象因子及气压层差分 / 梯度派生特征与微地形参数的多维特征向量;依据覆冰厚度划分轻度与重度覆冰并在同季节或同气象邻域约束下补全无覆冰样本,结合不均衡处理训练并整定预测模型;输出覆冰发生概率及无 / 轻 / 重等级结果,用于线路覆冰预警、调度与运维决策,提高预警可靠性与可解释性。
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