基于多尺度地理加权回归与空间异质性分区的滑坡易发性预测方法

By employing multi-scale geographically weighted regression and spatial heterogeneity zoning methods, the problems of low local accuracy and insufficient stability in landslide susceptibility prediction were solved, achieving high-precision and robust landslide susceptibility prediction and enhancing the engineering application value of the prediction results.

CN122155444BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17CHINA HYDROELECTRIC ENGINEERING CONSULTING GROUP CHENGDU RESEARCH HYDROELECTRIC INVESTIGATION DESIGN AND INSTITUTE

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
CHINA HYDROELECTRIC ENGINEERING CONSULTING GROUP CHENGDU RESEARCH HYDROELECTRIC INVESTIGATION DESIGN AND INSTITUTE
Filing Date
2026-05-09
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing landslide susceptibility prediction models suffer from low local accuracy, poor area efficiency, and insufficient prediction stability due to their single spatial scale and homogeneous modeling, and thus cannot effectively characterize the spatial heterogeneity of the landslide formation process.

Method used

A multi-scale geographically weighted regression model is used to adaptively allocate independent bandwidth to each disaster-prone factor. A spatially continuous regression coefficient surface is generated by Kriging interpolation, and spatial heterogeneity is partitioned based on the regression coefficient surface. Finally, landslide susceptibility is extrapolated by partition, and quality is evaluated by multi-dimensional indicators.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and stability of landslide prediction, enhances the identification of local high-risk areas and the engineering application value of prediction results, and ensures the robustness and efficiency of prediction results.

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Abstract

本发明涉及地质灾害风险评估技术领域,其公开了一种基于多尺度地理加权回归与空间异质性分区的滑坡易发性预测方法,解决传统滑坡预测模型因单一空间尺度、均一化建模、评价体系单一导致的局部精度低、面积效率差、预测稳定性不足的问题。本发明将多尺度地理加权回归与空间异质性分区有机结合,先通过多尺度回归模型为各孕灾因子自适应分配专属最优带宽,精准刻画滑坡孕灾关系的空间非平稳特征,再借助克里金插值将离散回归系数重构为空间连续表面,通过最优离散与自然间断法动态提取主导因子实现研究区的异质性分区,以各分区为独立单元开展滑坡易发性推演,并从预测精度、面积合理性、不确定性稳健度三个维度构建多维综合评价体系。
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