一种基于大语言模型的跨模态多源数据台风路径预测方法及系统

By constructing a cross-modal multi-source dataset, a semantically guided cross-modal association mechanism, and an LSTM low-rank fine-tuning mechanism, the shortcomings of existing technologies in typhoon path prediction are addressed. This enables accurate prediction of the long-term trajectory and short-term abrupt changes of typhoon paths, enhancing the model's feature representation ability and prediction accuracy.

CN122172351BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17NANJING UNIV OF INFORMATION SCI & TECH

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
NANJING UNIV OF INFORMATION SCI & TECH
Filing Date
2026-05-09
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing typhoon track prediction methods suffer from insufficient forecast accuracy due to limitations in initial field sensitivity, computational resource constraints, weak physical constraints, simplistic multimodal meteorological field fusion methods, and limited ability to model long-term dependence and abrupt changes in typhoon processes.

Method used

We construct a cross-modal multi-source dataset, including historical typhoon trajectory data, ERA5 reanalysis data, and Himawari satellite data. Through a semantically guided cross-modal association mechanism and a low-rank fine-tuning mechanism of LSTM, we train a large language model that integrates physical information to achieve accurate prediction of the long-term trajectory and short-term path changes of typhoons.

Benefits of technology

It significantly enhances the physical meaning and expressive power of features, achieves precise alignment between semantic modalities and physical spatiotemporal features, accurately grasps the long-term trajectory of typhoons and keenly captures short-term path changes, ensuring the stability and convergence effect of model training.

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Abstract

本发明涉及深度学习气象预测技术领域,公开了一种基于大语言模型的跨模态多源数据台风路径预测方法及系统,所述方法包括:构建包括台风历史轨迹数据、ERA5再分析数据和Himawari卫星数据的跨模态多源数据集;基于跨模态多源数据集和复合损失函数训练融合物理信息的大语言台风路径预测模型,得到训练好的融合物理信息的大语言台风路径预测模型;将跨模态多源数据输入训练好的融合物理信息的大语言台风路径预测模型,得到台风路径预测结果。本发明通过语义引导的跨模态关联机制和LSTM的低秩微调机制等实现了大语言模型在气象预测领域的跨界应用,进而实现了台风的长期走向和短期路径突变的精准预测。
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