考虑碳排不确定性的电力-碳排-绿证多时间尺度协同滚动优化方法、装置、设备及介质

By employing a multi-timescale collaborative rolling optimization method for electricity, carbon emissions, and green certificates, and utilizing historical data and the XGBOOST algorithm to generate operational scenarios, the uncertainty of carbon emissions in the power system was resolved, enabling the low-carbon transformation and market optimization of the power system.

CN122175101BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17CHINA SOUTHERN POWER GRID COMPANY +1

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
CHINA SOUTHERN POWER GRID COMPANY
Filing Date
2026-05-09
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing technologies have failed to effectively address the uncertainty of carbon emissions in power systems, leading to a disconnect between electricity, carbon, and certificates at different time scales, which affects the low-carbon transformation and market optimization of power systems.

Method used

By collecting historical wind, solar and hydropower data, simulating future power output changes, generating multi-timescale operation scenarios, and combining the XGBOOST algorithm and collaborative mutual assistance mechanism, we can perform collaborative rolling optimization of electricity, carbon emissions and green certificates, determine the reserve pool capacity configuration of carbon quotas and green certificate plans, and achieve power balance at multiple time scales.

Benefits of technology

It effectively reduced the uncertainty of carbon emissions, improved the power system's ability to transition to low carbon, ensured that power generation, carbon quotas and green certificate programs were more aligned with actual operating conditions, and broke down the disconnect between electricity, carbon emissions and green certificates.

✦ Generated by Eureka AI based on patent content.

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Abstract

本申请公开了考虑碳排不确定性的电力‑碳排‑绿证多时间尺度协同滚动优化方法、装置、设备及介质,涉及计算机技术领域,包括:基于历史风光水数据模拟在未来第一目标时间段的出力变化情况;利用得到的第一模拟运行场景对全年运行计划进行调整,基于得到的目标运行计划和目标模拟约束进行时序生产模拟,利用得到的新能源渗透情况确定碳配额与绿证计划的目标储备池的容量配置方案;基于电力系统的运行边界数据并利用XGBOOST算法生成未来第二目标时间段的第二模拟运行场景,并利用预设协同互济机制进行多时间尺度的电力、碳排和绿证协同滚动优化,得到目标可执行计划。通过电碳证的不同时间尺度的协同优化,降低碳排的不确定性问题。
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