基于大语言与数据-机理的作物产量预测方法及系统

By combining large language models and data-driven models, and utilizing allometric growth constraints and asynchronous assimilation techniques, the accuracy and robustness issues of existing crop yield prediction methods under spatial adaptability and extreme climate conditions are solved, achieving high-precision and robust crop yield prediction.

CN122198266BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17NORTHWEST A & F UNIV +1

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
NORTHWEST A & F UNIV
Filing Date
2026-05-14
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing crop yield forecasting methods have limitations in terms of spatial adaptability, generalization ability, data assimilation technology, and system interaction threshold, resulting in insufficient forecast accuracy and robustness, especially under extreme climatic conditions.

Method used

We employ a large language model for semantic analysis of multi-source data, combined with parallel inference driven by both mechanistic and data-driven models. Through asynchronous assimilation strategies and allometric growth constraints, we dynamically adjust the model fusion weights to achieve high-precision and robust prediction of crop growth status.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and robustness of crop yield forecasting, solves the problems of root-shoot ratio imbalance and forecasting bias under extreme weather conditions in traditional methods, reduces the complexity of system operation, and achieves high-precision and robust yield forecasting.

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Abstract

本发明公开了基于大语言与数据‑机理的作物产量预测方法及系统,涉及农作物产量估算技术领域,包括:S1、获取目标地块的多源数据,进行语义解析,提取环境特征实体,映射生成本地化参数集;S2、进行作物生长过程模拟,输出先验状态集合和预测产量趋势值;S3、通过异步同化策略更新作物生长状态变量;S4、执行两级融合策略,评估当前环境的气候异常度,动态调整机理模型的融合权重,计算得到最终作物产量预测值;本发明提供的基于大语言与数据‑机理的作物产量预测方法及系统,解决了传统单变量同化导致的作物锯齿效应及单一模型在极端气候下泛化能力差的问题,实现了高精度、高鲁棒性的作物产量协同预测。
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