一种风光储联合发电系统风险的评估方法及系统

By triggering sampling and time alignment of the active power change of the wind-solar-storage combined power generation system, and combining the available energy boundary parameters with the energy storage state of charge, the reachability domain boundary of ancillary services is constructed. This solves the accuracy problem of ancillary service missing risk assessment in the wind-solar-storage combined power generation system, realizes executable limit parameter output, and improves the stability and adaptability of the assessment results.

CN122198673BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17SHAANXI WINDRIDERPOWER CO LTD +3

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
SHAANXI WINDRIDERPOWER CO LTD
Filing Date
2026-05-15
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing technologies make it difficult to accurately assess the time frame and sources of constraints for the risk of missing ancillary services in wind-solar-storage combined power generation systems, resulting in a gap between understanding and execution of risk assessment and on-site operation control, and making it difficult to quantify ancillary service capabilities.

Method used

By triggering sampling through changes in active power, time alignment of measured active power at the grid connection point is performed to identify ancillary service demand segments. Based on the state of charge of energy storage, available energy boundary parameters are calculated to construct the reachability domain boundary of ancillary services. The unreachability tendency coefficient and limit parameters are output by calibrating the model using monotonic constrained logistic regression.

Benefits of technology

It achieves accurate characterization of the ancillary service requirements of wind-solar-storage combined power generation systems, can identify the time intervals and sources of unreachability, output executable limit parameters, improve the stability and interpretability of assessment results, and adapt to actual operating scenarios with fluctuations in wind and solar power output and changes in energy storage status.

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Abstract

本发明公开了一种风光储联合发电系统风险的评估方法及系统,具体涉及电力系统辅助服务领域,用于解决风光储并网运行中辅助服务不可达时段难以准确识别且限额参数难以形成的问题;通过指令有功功率变化触发采样并完成并网点实测有功功率时间对齐形成功率偏差序列,基于符号一致性识别与连续性规则划分辅助服务需求片段并在片段边界读取储能荷电状态换算可用能量边界参数,将可用能量边界参数与设备额定功率参数经储能功率限制规则生成可用功率边界参数并构造辅助服务可达域边界,进一步提取片段能量一致性量与贴边时长并经量纲一致化输入单调约束逻辑回归校准模型输出不可达倾向系数,输出不可达区间列表、约束来源标签与辅助服务限额参数。
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