基于多参融合的智能综合配电箱故障预测方法及系统

By establishing source data quality description records and event anchor point segmentation, combined with physical sequence constraint templates, the event-aligned state sequence is reconstructed, and the deviation from the actual response is decomposed. This solves the problem of identifying slowly developing faults in integrated distribution boxes and improves prediction accuracy and stability.

CN122218374BActive Publication Date: 2026-07-17SUZHOU SUTUO COMM TECH

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
SUZHOU SUTUO COMM TECH
Filing Date
2026-05-19
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing technologies are unable to effectively identify slowly developing faults in integrated distribution boxes, such as loose terminals, poor contact, reduced heat dissipation capacity, and unbalanced module load sharing. Furthermore, multi-source asynchronous data processing can easily lead to false alarms and missed alarms, affecting the stability of predictions.

Method used

By establishing source data quality description records, extracting running events as event anchors, segmenting event fragments, estimating channel delay and alignment reliability based on physical order constraint templates and data quality description records, reconstructing event alignment state sequences, calculating pre-condition description vectors, and decomposing actual response deviations for fault early warning.

Benefits of technology

It improves the sensitivity and early warning stability of identifying slowly evolving faults, reduces false positives, enhances the adaptability of the method, and is applicable to different sites and data acquisition conditions.

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Abstract

本申请公开了一种基于多参融合的智能综合配电箱故障预测方法及系统,该方法包括:基于各采集通道数据维护源内时间和系统接收时间,建立源数据质量描述记录;提取运行事件作为事件锚点并切分事件片段;依据事件类型加载物理顺序约束模板,估计各通道有效延迟及对齐可信度,重建事件对齐状态序列;计算前置工况描述向量,形成可比事件组并建立正常过渡响应基线;对新事件片段将实测轨迹相对基线的总偏离分解为时间错位可解释偏离和真实响应偏离;对真实响应偏离进行多参数传播顺序联合评估,更新递推风险状态,并在超过预设阈值时输出故障预警。该方法可提高故障预测的准确性和稳定性。
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