一种低压开关柜温湿度监测和预警方法、系统

By constructing a dynamic temperature and humidity benchmark model based on the physical laws of heat and mass transfer and an improved long short-term memory network model, combined with Bayesian inference methods, the problems of false alarms and missed alarms in temperature and humidity monitoring of low-voltage switchgear were solved, and early warning and accurate handling of insulation degradation were achieved.

CN122408893APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17XIAN THERMAL POWER RES INST CO LTD +1

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
XIAN THERMAL POWER RES INST CO LTD
Filing Date
2026-06-16
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing technologies for temperature and humidity monitoring in low-voltage switchgear suffer from several drawbacks. Fixed threshold methods cannot adapt to load and environmental changes, leading to false alarms or missed alarms. They also lack consideration for the linkage between temperature, humidity, and insulation degradation. Multi-parameter fusion methods fail to effectively warn of long-term cumulative insulation damage, and machine learning methods suffer from imbalanced samples and are black-box, making early warning impossible.

Method used

A dynamic benchmark model of temperature and humidity based on the physical laws of heat and mass transfer is constructed. The uncertainty of the model parameters is quantified by Bayesian inference. Combined with an improved long short-term memory network model, the cumulative risk is updated by adaptive forgetting factor. A graded early warning strategy is formulated and linkage control operation is executed.

Benefits of technology

It enables dynamic deviation risk assessment of temperature and humidity in low-voltage switchgear, improves the accuracy and foresight of monitoring, provides early warning of insulation degradation, reduces false alarm rate, and enhances the reliability of system judgment and the accuracy of handling.

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Abstract

本发明实施例提供了一种低压开关柜温湿度监测和预警方法、系统,涉及电力设备状态监测与预警技术领域,包括获取开关柜内部数据,利用传热学物理约束识别并修正异常值,并基于热传导与扩散方程构建温湿度动态基准模型,计算理论温湿度值并与实测数据对比,计算动态偏离风险指数,并利用贝叶斯推断量化模型参数不确定性,获得风险指数的不确定性区间,利用改进型长短期记忆网络预测未来风险指数,并通过自适应遗忘因子更新累积风险量,综合当前风险、未来预测和累积损伤制定三级预警策略,执行相匹配的联动控制操作。本发明实现基于当前风险、未来预测和累积损伤的三级阈值联动控制,显著提升了开关柜温湿度监测的准确性、前瞻性和处置精准度。
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