一种基于机理约束与动态更新的高炉内壁温度预测方法

By combining the heat conduction mechanism model with multicenter nonnegative matrix decomposition and LightGBM regression prediction model, a dynamic update method for predicting blast furnace inner wall temperature was developed. This solved the problems of computational efficiency and stability in predicting blast furnace wall temperature, and achieved high-precision online prediction and parameter drift adaptation.

CN122414005APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17NORTHEASTERN UNIV CHINA +1

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
NORTHEASTERN UNIV CHINA
Filing Date
2026-06-18
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing methods for predicting blast furnace wall temperature are insufficient in terms of computational efficiency and stability, making it difficult to meet the needs of rapid online prediction in industrial settings. Furthermore, drift in operating parameters leads to a decrease in prediction accuracy.

Method used

By combining the furnace wall heat conduction mechanism model with multicenter nonnegative matrix decomposition and LightGBM regression prediction model, and adapting to the drift of operating parameters through a dynamic update mechanism, a method for predicting the blast furnace inner wall temperature based on mechanism constraints and dynamic updates is established.

Benefits of technology

It improves prediction efficiency and stability, can automatically identify parameter drift and update the model, maintains high-precision furnace wall temperature prediction, and supports blast furnace thermal state analysis and anomaly early warning.

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Abstract

本发明提供一种基于机理约束与动态更新的高炉内壁温度预测方法,涉及高炉内壁温度预测技术领域。首先获取高炉稳定生产过程中的操作参数和炉壁热电偶温度数据;建立高炉炉壁导热机理模型,得到炉壁内侧温度参考值;采用多中心非负矩阵分解方法筛选关键特征;建立基于LightGBM的回归预测模型;对新输入数据进行漂移判别,并在判定发生参数漂移后更新回归预测模型;输出炉壁温度预测结果。该方法能够在稳定生产背景下适应操作参数的漂移变化,提高炉壁温度预测的准确性与在线应用能力。
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