基于数字孪生的输变电工程建设成本动态监控与预警方法及系统

By constructing a dual-state mapping model for power transmission and transformation engineering construction using digital twin technology, and combining Kalman filtering and graph neural networks, the problem of monitoring lag caused by static setting of cost baseline in power transmission and transformation engineering construction is solved, and accurate attribution of cost deviations and forward-looking early warning of risks are realized.

CN122415146APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17HUBEI JINGLI ELECTRIC POWER GROUP CO LTD GENERAL CONTRACTING BRANCH
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Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
HUBEI JINGLI ELECTRIC POWER GROUP CO LTD GENERAL CONTRACTING BRANCH
Filing Date
2026-04-22
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing technologies are unable to achieve dynamic correction of the target cost baseline and accurate attribution of cost deviations in power transmission and transformation engineering construction under conditions of frequent design changes, complex process coupling, and dynamic changes in construction resources. This results in delayed, distorted, or misjudged cost monitoring results.

Method used

By adopting a digital twin-based approach, a dual-state mapping digital twin state set is constructed by acquiring multi-source heterogeneous raw data of the project. Combined with an adaptive reconstruction mechanism for the target cost baseline, a dual-channel separation mechanism for reasonable change costs and unreasonable loss costs, and cost runaway trend prediction driven by graph neural networks and time-series prediction networks, dynamic correction of the cost baseline and risk identification are achieved.

Benefits of technology

It enables real-time correction of cost baselines under conditions of frequent design changes, improves the dynamic adaptability and accuracy of cost monitoring, accurately locates the sources of cost risks, and improves the accuracy of cost risk identification and the timeliness of early warning response.

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Abstract

本发明涉及电力工程建设成本智能管控技术领域,公开了基于数字孪生的输变电工程建设成本动态监控与预警方法及系统,其中,方法包括:构建数字孪生状态集;执行目标成本基线自适应重构;对成本偏差进行合理变更成本与非合理损耗成本分离;基于图神经网络与时序预测网络执行成本风险识别与预警判定;进行纠偏策略仿真验证与控制执行。相较于现有技术中输变电工程建设成本管理主要依赖静态目标成本控制,尤其是在设计变更频发的工程建设条件下,无法实现对目标成本基线的动态修正的技术问题。由于本申请通过双态数字孪生建模、卡尔曼滤波递推重构及Shapley归因分析,实现成本偏差来源的精确识别与成本风险的提前预警。
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