一种区域性土壤干旱预警智能管理方法及系统

By using moving average processing based on historical grid data and finite state machine algorithm, the regional specificity and dynamic updating problems of regional soil drought early warning methods are solved, the stability and foresight of early warning signals are achieved, and the accuracy and decision support capabilities of the early warning system are improved.

CN122416635APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17SICHUAN METEOROLOGICAL OBSERVATORY

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
SICHUAN METEOROLOGICAL OBSERVATORY
Filing Date
2026-05-27
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

In existing technologies, regional soil drought early warning methods lack regional specificity, have poor stability of early warning signals, lack dynamic evolution and closed-loop management, and are insufficient in foresight and timeliness, resulting in inaccurate early warning thresholds, frequent changes in early warning levels, and a decline in the authority of information.

Method used

The system employs a moving average processing technique based on historical grid data to calculate region-specific thresholds. Combined with a finite state machine algorithm, it achieves dynamic updates and closed-loop management of early warning levels. Short-term fluctuations are suppressed through 7-day moving average smoothing, generating forward-looking early warning signals.

Benefits of technology

It has achieved smooth stability and accuracy of early warning signals, reduced administrative costs, enhanced the authority and credibility of early warning information, and provided forward-looking decision support for drought prevention and relief.

✦ Generated by Eureka AI based on patent content.

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Abstract

本发明涉及土壤干旱预警技术领域,尤其涉及一种区域性土壤干旱预警智能管理方法及系统。该方法基于历史格点监测数据,通过向预设时段的滑动平均处理提取区域特异性预警阈值,分别以第92、95、97百分位值作为黄、橙、红三级预警阈值;结合未来7天格点干旱等级预测数据进行越界判定,生成含预警等级与预计持续时间的区域预警信号;调用预设规则库生成预警指令集,驱动各行政区域预警状态机进行状态转移,实现预警等级动态更新与闭环管理;并通过反馈优化机制更新干旱敏感度系数。该方法有效抑制预警闪烁问题,提升了区域干旱预警的准确性、前瞻性与时效性。
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