基于建成环境约束的交通流量与运行状态联合预测方法

By constructing a structured built-up environment relationship structure and node-level traffic capacity verification, the inconsistency problem of built-up environment constraints in traffic prediction in existing technologies is solved, realizing joint prediction and consistency verification of traffic flow and operating status, thereby improving the accuracy of prediction and its practical application value.

CN122416743APending Publication Date: 2026-07-17SHANDONG UNIV OF SCI & TECH
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Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Applications(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
SHANDONG UNIV OF SCI & TECH
Filing Date
2026-06-18
Publication Date
2026-07-17

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing methods for predicting traffic flow and operational status fail to effectively incorporate built-up environment constraints, resulting in inconsistent prediction results in terms of spatial differences and temporal evolution. Furthermore, they lack a complete expression and verification of node-level capacity and saturation.

Method used

The traffic flow and operation status joint prediction method based on built environment constraints constructs a structured built environment relationship structure, encodes environment vectors around checkpoint nodes, and performs traffic spatiotemporal prediction within the same framework. It also combines node-level capacity and saturation for consistency verification and correction.

Benefits of technology

It improves the accuracy and stability of traffic forecasting, can fully express the spatial differences and temporal evolution of traffic caused by the built environment, outputs reliable state results that can be directly used for traffic management, and enhances the engineering rationality and interpretability of the forecast results in practical applications.

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Abstract

本发明属于智能交通预测技术领域,具体公开了一种基于建成环境约束的交通流量与运行状态联合预测方法。本发明方法以卡口节点为基础建模单元,围绕卡口节点构建结构化的建成环境表示,并将其分别作用于交通时空预测模型主干网络中的空间传播关系和时间演化过程,使建成环境信息不再仅作为附加输入存在,而是直接参与交通预测的建模过程;同时在同一框架下联合输出未来交通流量预测结果和未来交通运行状态预测结果,并结合节点级通行能力和饱和度对状态结果进行一致性校验与修正,提高了预测结果的准确性、状态表达能力和工程应用价值,尤其适用于诸如城市道路运行监测、拥堵预警和交通管理等场景。
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