Power prediction device, power prediction method, and program

JP2026009539APending Publication Date: 2026-01-21HITACHI LTD
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Patent Information

Application Number
JP2024109478
Authority / Receiving Office
JP · JP
Patent Type
Applications
Current Assignee / Owner
Filing Date
2024-07-08
Publication Date
2026-01-21

AI Technical Summary

Technical Problem

Existing power forecasting methods are not specialized in predicting electricity price spikes, leading to low accuracy in spike predictions during wholesale electricity trading.

Method used

A power prediction device and method that includes a spike extraction unit to identify spikes in historical market data, a spike prediction necessity determination unit to assess the need for prediction, and a spike occurrence prediction unit to forecast spike times using time-series data and historical features.

Benefits of technology

Accurately predicts electricity price spikes, improving the accuracy of spike predictions and enabling better decision-making in power trading.

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Abstract

To accurately predict a spike in power transaction.SOLUTION: Provided are a spike extraction unit 111 that extracts a time at which a spike, which is a part deviating from a trend, included in time-series data of a history of a power market price over one or more periods has occurred, a spike prediction necessity determination unit 112 that determines whether spike prediction is necessary on the basis of a spike extraction state in the spike extraction unit 111, and a spike occurrence prediction unit 116 that predicts, when the spike prediction necessity determination unit 112 determines that the spike prediction is necessary, a time at which a spike occurs in a prediction target period on the basis of time-series data and a time at which the spike occurs in a period before the prediction target period that is a period for which spike occurrence is predicted.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 2
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