Adaptive Fault Prediction for Computing Components

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Solution Overview

Problem

Conventional methods for predicting component failure in computing systems are inaccurate and do not consider sufficient data sources, leading to inefficiencies in warranty and spare unit strategies, and increased bottom-line costs.

Innovation Solution

An adaptive fault prediction analysis system that uses a multi-pronged, multi-dimensional approach, incorporating machine learning and real-time sensor data analysis, including tolerance limits such as component age and environmental factors, to calculate a failure metric and update it based on spatial relationships between components, thereby improving prediction accuracy.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If conventional failure prediction methods are used, then device complexity is reduced, but measurement precision and reliability of failure prediction deteriorate

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvefailure prediction accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system segments failure prediction into multiple independent metric calculations: tolerance limit analysis, sensor data analysis, and spatial relationship analysis. Each segment processes specific data types and contributes to the overall failure metric, improving prediction accuracy while maintaining manageable system complexity through modular architecture

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The system adds spatial dimension to failure prediction by analyzing spatial relationships between computing components. This multi-dimensional approach incorporates location-based factors into the failure metric calculation, significantly improving prediction accuracy beyond conventional single-dimension methods

Inventive Principle:
Principle #17Another dimension (Dimensionality change)

2Measurement precision

If more data sources are incorporated, then failure prediction accuracy improves, but loss of time for data processing increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvefailure prediction accuracyVSAvoiddata processing time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary analysis of tolerance limits and spatial relationships before real-time sensor data arrives. This pre-processing establishes baseline metrics and relationships that reduce the computational burden during real-time operation, enabling accurate failure prediction without excessive processing delays

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system continuously updates the failure metric as new sensor data arrives, maintaining an ongoing prediction process rather than periodic batch processing. This continuous action ensures timely failure detection while efficiently utilizing processing resources through steady-state operation

Inventive Principle:
Principle #20Continuity of useful action

3Reliability

If real-time sensor data analysis is implemented, then reliability of failure prediction improves, but use of energy increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvefailure prediction reliabilityVSAvoidprocessing energy consumption
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSUse of energy by moving object

Solution Approach 1:

The system applies partial analysis to spatial relationships, considering only components within a defined spatial threshold rather than analyzing all possible component interactions. This selective approach maintains high prediction reliability for components at risk while reducing overall energy consumption by excluding distant components from analysis

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

Data Source

PatentUS11550647B2Adaptive fault prediction analysis of computing components
Publication Date: 2023.01.10 SEAGATE TECH LLC
  • US11550647B2 patent drawing
  • US11550647B2 patent drawing
  • US11550647B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Systems and methods for adaptive fault prediction analysis are described. In one embodiment, the system includes one or more computing components, and one or more hardware controllers. In some embodiments, the storage system includes a storage drive. At least one of the one or more hardware controllers is configured to analyze one or more tolerance limits of a first computing component among the plurality of computing components; calculate a failure metric of the first computing component based at least in part on the analysis of the one or more tolerance limits of the first computing component; analyze sensor data from the first computing component in real time; and update the failure metric based at least in part on the analyzing of the sensor data.