Aggressive Lymphoma Treatment Tolerability Prediction with TRAIL

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing treatments for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, such as R-CHOP, are often toxic for subjects with comorbidities or frailty, leading to incomplete treatment and increased relapse risk, with current models focusing on treatment effectiveness rather than tolerability.

Innovation Solution

A machine-learning model, TRAIL, predicts a subject's tolerability to treatments like R-CHOP by analyzing a small set of clinical variables, including blood panel results and medical history, to identify those at high risk of adverse events, enabling alternative therapies.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If R-CHOP treatment is administered to subjects with comorbidities or frailty, then treatment effectiveness may be improved, but tolerability deteriorates leading to adverse events and incomplete treatment

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetreatment effectivenessVSAvoidadverse events
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSObject-affected harmful factors

Solution Approach 1:

The TRAIL model performs preliminary assessment of tolerability risk before R-CHOP treatment is administered. By evaluating clinical variables and predicting adverse event risk in advance, the system enables physicians to identify high-risk subjects who would benefit from alternative therapies, thereby preventing adverse events before they occur

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The TRAIL prediction model serves as an intermediary tool between the physician and the treatment decision. It processes clinical data and provides an objective tolerability assessment that mediates the decision-making process, helping physicians balance treatment effectiveness against potential harms for individualized treatment selection

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Reliability

If current treatment models focus on effectiveness rather than tolerability, then treatment efficacy may be optimized, but identification of high-risk subjects deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvetreatment efficacyVSAvoidtolerability prediction accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

Instead of evaluating whether a treatment will be effective (the conventional approach), the TRAIL model inverts the question to evaluate whether a treatment will be tolerable. This paradigm shift focuses the assessment on predicting adverse events and tolerability outcomes rather than treatment efficacy, enabling identification of high-risk subjects who would benefit from alternative therapies

Inventive Principle:
Principle #13The other way round (Inversion)

Data Source

PatentUS12381013B2Predicting tolerability in aggressive non-hodgkin lymphoma
Publication Date: 2025.08.05 GENENTECH INC
  • US12381013B2 patent drawing
  • US12381013B2 patent drawing
  • US12381013B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Systems and methods described herein improve outcomes of subjects with lymphoma. Subjects with lymphoma may be able to avoid conventional treatments that have a high probability of leading to an adverse effect in the subject. Systems and methods allow for a more accurate prediction of subjects who cannot tolerate a particular treatment. Methods may include accessing an input data set that includes multiple input data values pertaining to a particular subject with lymphoma. The method may further include inputting the input data set into a machine-learning model to generate a score corresponding to the degree to which the particular subject will tolerate a particular treatment. The method may include outputting a prediction of the tolerance of the particular subject to the particular treatment using the generated score.