AI Baseline Energy Model for Building Savings Accuracy
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Solution Overview
Problem
Existing methods for determining energy savings in buildings are either inaccurate or impractical, especially when dealing with a portfolio of buildings across a large geographic region, due to the complexity and cost of detailed facility models, and the inaccuracy of high-level statistical correlation models.
Innovation Solution
An artificial intelligence-based energy use model, specifically a neural network model, is used to calculate a building's baseline energy use and estimate energy savings by inputting baseline facility condition and energy consumption data, allowing for accurate determination of energy savings post-energy efficiency measures.
Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles
Engineering Contradiction Analysis
1Measurement precision
If detailed facility models (e.g., DOEII) are used to determine energy savings, then measurement precision is improved, but device complexity and loss of time increase significantly
Solution Approach 1:
The patent segments the energy modeling process into two distinct approaches: detailed facility models for high-precision applications and statistical correlation models for rapid assessments. This segmentation allows users to select the appropriate level of detail based on specific needs, reducing unnecessary complexity while maintaining accuracy where required.
Solution Approach 2:
The patent introduces statistical correlation models as an intermediary solution between simple degree-day models and complex detailed facility models. These intermediate models use readily available data (monthly degree-days and energy bills) combined with statistical regression to provide reasonably accurate energy savings estimates without requiring extensive on-site evaluation, thus mediating the trade-off between precision and complexity.
2Measurement precision
If detailed facility models are used to determine energy savings, then measurement precision is improved, but loss of time increases due to extensive on-site evaluation requirements
Solution Approach 1:
The patent applies preliminary action by preparing statistical correlation models in advance using historical data and statistical regression analysis. These pre-developed models can be quickly deployed to estimate energy savings without requiring time-consuming on-site evaluations at the time of implementation, thus reducing loss of time while maintaining reasonable accuracy.
Solution Approach 2:
The patent uses copying by creating simplified statistical representations (correlation models) that replicate the essential behavior of complex detailed facility models. These copied models use monthly degree-days and energy bill data to approximate the results of full detailed models, providing accurate enough estimates for portfolio-level assessments without requiring the original complex models to be executed for each building.
3Device complexity
If high-level statistical correlation models are used to determine energy savings, then device complexity is reduced, but measurement precision deteriorates
Solution Approach 1:
The patent applies parameter changes by transforming the input parameters from simple degree-day values to statistically processed energy bill data combined with degree-days. This transformation enhances the information content of the inputs, allowing statistical correlation models to achieve improved measurement precision while maintaining their simplicity and ease of implementation.
Data Source
AI summary
A computer-based system, computer-implemented method, and computer program product facilitate determining energy cost savings in an energy-consuming facility, such as a commercial building, using an artificial intelligence model, for example a neural network model, that projects or estimates the amount of energy that would have been consumed by the facility but for the implementation of energy efficiency or conservation measures. Energy savings are represented by the difference between the estimate of energy that would have been consumed but for the measures and the actual amount of energy consumed by the facility under actual conditions during a time interval after the measures have been implemented.


