AI-Enhanced Mechanistic Model Parameter Inference

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Solution Overview

Problem

Mechanistic models face challenges in accurately inferring model parameters due to model and parameter uncertainty, particularly when calibrated with observational data that exhibits considerable variability, making it difficult to identify causal relationships effectively.

Innovation Solution

The integration of artificial intelligence algorithms with mechanistic models using variational autoencoders (VAEs) and generative adversarial networks (GANs) to employ the parameter space of mechanistic models as a latent space, enabling the identification of causal relationships by approximating conditional probabilities and solving stochastic inverse problems.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If traditional calibration methods are used with observational data, then the calibration process can be performed with existing tools, but the parameter inference accuracy deteriorates due to model and parameter uncertainty and data variability

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveparameter inference accuracyVSAvoidcausal relationship identification reliability
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent merges traditional mechanistic models with artificial intelligence algorithms (variational autoencoders and generative adversarial networks) into a hybrid framework. This combination allows the system to leverage the interpretability of mechanistic models while incorporating the pattern recognition capabilities of AI, thereby improving parameter inference accuracy and causal relationship identification despite data variability and model uncertainty.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces an intermediary AI layer that acts as a mediator between observational data and mechanistic model parameters. The variational autoencoder and generative adversarial network serve as intermediary components that process uncertain observational data and generate refined parameter estimates, bridging the gap between noisy data and reliable causal inference.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Measurement precision

If complex AI algorithms are integrated with mechanistic models, then parameter inference accuracy improves, but the system complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveparameter inference accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the complex inference task into distinct modular components: a variational autoencoder module for latent space representation, a generative adversarial network module for parameter generation, and a mechanistic model module for causal relationship evaluation. This segmentation allows each component to be developed, trained, and validated independently while maintaining overall system functionality.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent designs the AI algorithms to serve multiple functions within the mechanistic modeling framework. The variational autoencoder simultaneously performs dimensionality reduction, feature extraction, and parameter transformation. The generative adversarial network concurrently handles parameter generation, uncertainty quantification, and data synthesis, reducing the need for separate specialized components.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

3Productivity

If autonomous AI-based inference is implemented, then the efficiency and speed of parameter inference improve, but the need for human guidance and validation may increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveparameter inference efficiencyVSAvoidhuman guidance requirement
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSEase of operation

Solution Approach 1:

The patent implements feedback mechanisms where the outputs of the AI algorithms are continuously evaluated against the mechanistic model constraints and observational data. The system provides feedback loops that allow automatic adjustment of parameters and model assumptions, enabling autonomous operation while maintaining consistency with domain knowledge and reducing the need for manual intervention.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS20220414451A1Mechanistic model parameter inference through artificial intelligence
Publication Date: 2022.12.29 INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINE CORPORATION
  • US20220414451A1 patent drawing
  • US20220414451A1 patent drawing
  • US20220414451A1 patent drawing

AI summary

Techniques regarding inferring parameters of one or more mechanistic models are provided. For example, one or more embodiments described herein can comprise a system, which can comprise a memory that can store computer executable components. The system can also comprise a processor, operably coupled to the memory, and that can execute the computer executable components stored in the memory. The computer executable components can comprise a machine learning component that can identify a causal relationship in a mechanistic model via a machine learning architecture that employs a parameter space of the mechanistic model as a latent space of a variational autoencoder.