Multi-dimensional Aircraft Collision Risk Evaluation

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current aircraft collision risk evaluation systems are limited to lateral calculations, failing to account for dynamic aircraft operations in all directions, which can lead to incomplete safety assessments as collisions can occur in any direction.

Innovation Solution

A multi-dimensional aircraft collision risk evaluation system is developed, calculating probabilities of overlap in three dimensions (X, Y, Z axes) using model size parameters, distances, and standard deviations of yaw distances, and determining collision probabilities in all directions to provide a comprehensive safety evaluation.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If lateral collision risk calculation is used, then the calculation process is simple, but the safety assessment is incomplete because it does not account for collisions in all directions

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvesafety assessment completenessVSAvoidcalculation model complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent transitions from a one-dimensional lateral collision risk calculation to a three-dimensional collision risk evaluation system. It introduces longitudinal and vertical dimensions in addition to the lateral dimension, creating a comprehensive spatial model that accounts for collisions in all directions. This dimensional expansion directly resolves the contradiction by making the safety assessment complete while accepting increased calculation complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #17Another dimension (Dimensionality change)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent segments the collision risk calculation into three independent dimensional components: lateral collision risk, longitudinal collision risk, and vertical collision risk. Each dimension is calculated separately using its own probability density function and then integrated to form the overall collision risk assessment. This segmentation approach manages the complexity by breaking down the three-dimensional problem into manageable one-dimensional sub-problems.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

2Measurement precision

If EVENT model is used for collision probability calculation, then statistical data can be utilized, but a large amount of statistical data is required which increases data requirements

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecollision probability accuracyVSAvoidstatistical data volume
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSQuantity of substance

Solution Approach 1:

The patent changes the fundamental parameters of the collision risk model from requiring extensive historical statistical data to using real-time aircraft state parameters such as position, velocity, and trajectory. By parameterizing the probability density functions with current flight data rather than historical averages, the system achieves accurate collision probability calculation with minimal data requirements.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Solution Approach 2:

The patent establishes probability density functions and collision risk models in advance based on theoretical aerodynamic and flight mechanical principles. These pre-established models can then be applied immediately to real-time data without requiring extensive statistical analysis or historical data collection, thus reducing data requirements while maintaining measurement precision.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Data Source

PatentUS20220156617A1Multi-dimensional aircraft collision conflict risk evaluation system
Publication Date: 2022.05.19 CIVIL AVIATION FLIGHT UNIV OF CHINA
  • US20220156617A1 patent drawing
  • US20220156617A1 patent drawing
  • US20220156617A1 patent drawing

AI summary

A multi-dimensional aircraft collision risk evaluation system in the field of collision prediction for civil aviation aircraft is disclosed. The system calculates probabilities of overlapping between an aircraft and one or more other aircraft in three dimensions; calculates loss interval rates of the aircraft in three dimensions; obtains probabilities of collision between the aircraft in directions corresponding to the three dimensions; compares the probabilities of collision in the three dimensions of the aircraft to obtain a maximum probability and a dimension corresponding to the maximum probability; and calculates a difference value between the maximum probability and a safety standard, and making or giving a safety evaluation according to the difference value. Accordingly, the calculation of the multi-dimensional aircraft collision risk probability is realized. The maximum collision risk probability is calculated, and a determination criterion for a comprehensive safety evaluation of the aircraft is provided based on the maximum collision risk probability.