Alertness Prediction Model for Sleep and Caffeine Scheduling

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing systems fail to effectively optimize cognitive performance and alertness in individuals with irregular work-rest schedules, particularly for occupations requiring high alertness, due to inadequate modeling of sleep deprivation and caffeine effects, lacking personalized biomathematical models for predicting performance improvements.

Innovation Solution

A biomathematical model integrated into a portable computing device and software system that measures and predicts cognitive performance, provides personalized caffeine consumption and sleep-wake schedule optimization, using a two-process model incorporating circadian and homeostatic processes, and accounts for individual responses to caffeine dosing.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Productivity

If irregular work-rest schedules are implemented to meet occupational demands, then productivity is maintained, but cognitive performance and alertness deteriorate

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveoccupational productivityVSAvoidcognitive performance
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary actions by predicting future cognitive performance levels before actual impairment occurs. It uses biomathematical models to forecast alertness levels and proactively recommends caffeine dosing and sleep-wake schedule adjustments to prevent cognitive deterioration before it impacts occupational performance

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system implements continuous feedback loops by measuring actual cognitive performance, comparing it against model predictions, and using this information to refine future recommendations. The feedback mechanism allows the system to adapt to individual responses and optimize the balance between maintaining productivity and preserving cognitive function

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

2Ease of operation

If traditional alertness monitoring methods are used, then simplicity is maintained, but measurement precision of cognitive performance is insufficient

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvesystem simplicityVSAvoidcognitive performance measurement
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The system introduces computational models and algorithms as intermediaries between simple user inputs (sleep logs, caffeine intake) and complex cognitive performance assessments. These intermediary processing layers translate basic data into precise predictions of alertness levels, maintaining ease of operation while achieving high measurement precision through sophisticated underlying calculations

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

3Device complexity

If generic alertness models are used, then device complexity is reduced, but adaptability to individual responses is insufficient

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemodel complexityVSAvoidindividualization capability
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSAdaptability or versatility

Solution Approach 1:

The system employs dynamic models that adapt to individual users over time. Rather than using static generic parameters, the biomathematical models continuously learn from individual responses to caffeine and sleep patterns, adjusting parameters dynamically to reflect personal characteristics. This allows the system to maintain reasonable complexity while achieving high adaptability to individual variations

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Data Source

PatentUS20260081001A1Method and System for Measuring, Predicting and Optimizing Human Alertness
Publication Date: 2026.03.19 UNITED STATES OF AMERICA THE AS REPRESENTED BY THE SEC OF THE ARMY
  • US20260081001A1 patent drawing
  • US20260081001A1 patent drawing
  • US20260081001A1 patent drawing

AI summary

A system and method using a biomathetical model in conjunction with an optimization method for an individual's alertness impairment at a future time based on a known sleep schedule by adjusting the intake of caffeine over that schedule. In a further embodiment, placing constraints on the frequency, the dose amount, and/or total amount consumed over the course of the future schedule. In a further embodiment, optimizing the sleep schedule (prior to or independent of caffeine optimization) to decrease the individual's alertness impairment at the future time(s). In a further embodiment, adjust both the sleep schedule and caffeine intake to decrease the individual's alertness impairment at the future time(s). In at least one embodiment, the system including a mobile based system and/or a networked computer-based system.