Augmented Reliability Models Using ML Feature Selection

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Solution Overview

Problem

Conventional theoretical reliability models fail to accurately predict the reliability of products after high-volume manufacturing and field use, as they do not account for practical test and in-use data, leading to potential failures and underperformance.

Innovation Solution

An augmented reliability performance model is generated by developing a machine learning model based on manufacturing and testing data, identifying critical features, and incorporating these features into a design reliability model to improve prediction accuracy and product reliability.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If theoretical reliability models are used during product design phases, then the design process can proceed with reliability predictions, but the prediction accuracy does not match the practical reliability of manufactured products

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvereliability prediction accuracyVSAvoidpractical test and in-use data
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The patent implements feedback by using field failure data and reliability testing data from actual product usage to update and refine theoretical reliability models. This creates a closed-loop system where practical data flows back into the design phase to improve future predictions, resolving the contradiction between theoretical predictions and practical reliability.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Solution Approach 2:

The patent applies preliminary action by collecting and analyzing reliability data from field usage and testing before finalizing the reliability model for design applications. This ensures that the model incorporates real-world performance characteristics upfront, improving prediction accuracy from the outset rather than relying solely on theoretical assumptions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Reliability

If manufacturing data from high volume production is used to build reliability models, then the models become more practical, but the data sets are too small and do not include enough reliability failures for proper modeling

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepractical reliability modelingVSAvoidsample size for modeling
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSQuantity of substance

Solution Approach 1:

The patent merges multiple data sources including field failure data, reliability testing data, and manufacturing data into a comprehensive dataset. This combination increases the quantity and diversity of failure data available for modeling, enabling more accurate practical reliability models even when individual data sources are limited.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent creates a multi-functional reliability modeling system that can handle various types of data (field failures, testing data, manufacturing variations) and apply them across different product design scenarios. This universal approach maximizes the utility of limited data by extracting reliable patterns applicable to broader contexts.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

3Ease of manufacture

If conventional theoretical reliability models are used, then the design process is straightforward, but the models do not account for process manufacturing variations and field conditions

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedesign process simplicityVSAvoidaccounting for manufacturing variations
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of manufactureVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent transforms the reliability modeling approach by changing key parameters from fixed theoretical values to dynamic values that incorporate manufacturing variations and field conditions. This allows the model to account for real-world variability while maintaining computational efficiency and integration into the design process.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Data Source

PatentUS12079554B2Augmented reliability models for design and manufacturing
Publication Date: 2024.09.03 OPTIMAL PLUS
  • US12079554B2 patent drawing
  • US12079554B2 patent drawing
  • US12079554B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A method for generating a reliability performance model includes developing a reliability prediction machine learning model for predicting reliability performance of a product based on data obtained from manufacturing and testing of the product, and obtaining feature names for the reliability prediction machine learning model and their predictive power values. The feature names may correspond to features from the data obtained from manufacturing and testing of the product. The method may further include extracting a set of feature names corresponding to features having highest predictive power values from the feature names, and generating a reliability performance model using one or more model parameters derived from the set of feature names.