Automated Entity Identification for Event Probability Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Traditional event probability prediction systems face limitations in resource efficiency, requiring extensive computer resources and interfaces with external databases, which complicates development and processing capacity, and struggle to identify anomalous behavior across multiple dimensions.

Innovation Solution

The implementation of a computer-based system using Automated Entity Identification (AEI) and Concise Profiles, which maintains only a small dynamic table in memory, replacing large disk-resident databases, and employs a recycling algorithm to identify and report entities with anomalous behavior.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If traditional event probability prediction systems store and access profiles for every existing entity in an external disk-resident database, then comprehensive historical information is maintained, but computer resource efficiency deteriorates and system complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomprehensive historical information maintenanceVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent extracts only the most relevant and recently updated entity profiles from the comprehensive database into a focused in-memory data structure. This selective extraction maintains the necessary historical information for prediction while eliminating the need for complex external database interfaces, directly resolving the contradiction between comprehensive information maintenance and system complexity reduction.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent segments the entity profile storage into two parts: a comprehensive external database for long-term historical data and an in-memory data structure for actively used profiles. This segmentation allows the system to maintain comprehensive information externally while using only necessary portions internally, reducing complexity without sacrificing reliability.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

2Reliability

If traditional systems maintain profiles for all entities in external databases, then complete entity data is available, but processing capacity and execution speed deteriorate

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomplete entity data availabilityVSAvoidprocessing capacity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSProductivity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent performs preliminary action by pre-loading relevant entity profiles into the in-memory data structure before they are needed for prediction. This advance preparation ensures complete entity data is available when needed while avoiding the performance penalty of real-time database access during processing, thus maintaining data availability while improving processing capacity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The in-memory data structure serves as an intermediary between the external comprehensive database and the prediction engine. This intermediary caches necessary entity profiles, allowing the system to maintain complete entity data availability through the external database while providing fast access through the in-memory cache, thereby preserving both data completeness and processing capacity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

3Ease of operation

If interfaces are created between mathematical models and external databases during development and production, then data access is enabled, but implementation complexity and development time increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedata access capabilityVSAvoidimplementation complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSEase of manufacture

Solution Approach 1:

The patent merges the data access functionality directly into the mathematical model by incorporating an in-memory data structure within the model itself. This eliminates the need for separate external database interfaces during both development and production, enabling data access while significantly reducing implementation complexity and development time.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

4Quantity of substance

If large disk-resident profile databases are used, then comprehensive entity information is stored, but resource efficiency and execution speed deteriorate

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveentity information storageVSAvoidresource efficiency
Core Design Contradiction:
Quantity of substanceVSUse of energy by moving object

Solution Approach 1:

The patent extracts only the essential entity profiles needed for current predictions from the large disk-resident database and stores them in an in-memory data structure. This extraction maintains comprehensive entity information storage capability through the external database while dramatically improving resource efficiency by using memory instead of disk for active data, reducing I/O operations and energy consumption.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

Data Source

PatentUS8645301B2Automated entity identification for efficient profiling in an event probability prediction system
Publication Date: 2014.02.04 FAIR ISAAC & CO INC
  • US8645301B2 patent drawing
  • US8645301B2 patent drawing
  • US8645301B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A computer-implemented method and system for automated entity identification for efficient profiling in an event probability prediction system. A first subset of entities belonging to one or more entity classes is defined. At least one historical profile is constructed for each entity in the subset of entities based on a set of possible outcomes of transaction behavior of each entity in the first subset of entities. Based on the historical profiles, a second subset of entities having transaction behavior associated with a transaction is selected, the transaction behavior being predictive of at least one targeted outcome from the set of possible outcomes. The first subset of entities is redefined with the second subset of entities.