Automated Hyperparameter Selection for Time-Series AI Models

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Solution Overview

Problem

The development of artificial intelligence models, particularly those using time-series data, is hindered by the complexity and time-consuming nature of hyperparameter tuning and the need for accurate data categorization and labeling.

Innovation Solution

The system automates model selection and hyperparameter optimization by using statistical tests to determine the attributes of time-series data, such as stationarity and seasonality, and applying a profiling model to select the most effective model and optimize hyperparameters.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If multiple models are trained and validated to determine the best fit for a dataset, then model selection accuracy is improved, but development time and computational resources increase significantly

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemodel selection accuracyVSAvoiddevelopment time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary statistical analysis on the dataset to identify key attributes (stationarity, seasonality, trends) before model training. This preliminary characterization allows the system to select appropriate models in advance, avoiding the time-consuming process of training and validating multiple models when they are clearly unsuitable for the data characteristics.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system changes the approach from training multiple complete models to analyzing dataset parameters (statistical attributes) and using this information to guide model selection. By focusing on parameter characterization rather than full model training, the system achieves accurate model selection with significantly reduced computational time.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Measurement precision

If extensive hyperparameter tuning is performed to optimize model performance, then model accuracy is improved, but the complexity and time required for development increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemodel performanceVSAvoidhyperparameter tuning complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary statistical characterization of the dataset to identify key attributes before hyperparameter tuning. This preliminary action provides a framework for selecting hyperparameter ranges and tuning strategies, reducing the complexity of the tuning process while maintaining optimal model performance.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system uses automated statistical analysis to characterize the dataset and determine appropriate hyperparameter ranges without requiring manual intervention or specialized expertise. The automated approach performs the complexity-reducing work of identifying data attributes and translating them into tuning guidelines.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

3Measurement precision

If manual data categorization and labeling are performed to ensure high quality, then data quality is improved, but the time and manual resources required increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedata qualityVSAvoiddata preparation time
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs automated statistical analysis to characterize and categorize the dataset without requiring manual intervention. The automated processes identify data attributes, detect patterns, and prepare data for modeling, eliminating the time-consuming manual labeling while maintaining high data quality through rigorous statistical validation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

Data Source

PatentUS20250139503A1Systems and methods for minimizing development time in artificial intelligence models by automating hyperparameter selection
Publication Date: 2025.05.01 CAPITAL ONE SERVICES LLC
  • US20250139503A1 patent drawing
  • US20250139503A1 patent drawing
  • US20250139503A1 patent drawing

AI summary

Methods and systems are described herein for minimizing development time in artificial intelligence models by automating model selection based on dataset fittings of time-series data prior to hyperparameter optimization. The systems and methods described herein aim to reduce the redundancies and improve the efficiencies of model selection, model training, and/or hyperparameter selection. The systems and methods achieve this by using information about the attributes of the time-series dataset that may be used to determine a model that may be most effective at fitting a given dataset. If a model is selected prior to hyperparameter optimization, the time and resources spent training, fitting, and/or tuning models that are not selected can be avoided.