Autonomous Machine Task Completion Time Estimation

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Solution Overview

Problem

It is challenging for supervisors to determine the completion time of tasks performed by autonomous machines, such as compactor machines, which affects resource utilization and worksite scheduling.

Innovation Solution

A completion time estimation system that includes a controller configured to obtain parameters associated with a task, determine an estimated completion time, and perform actions based on this estimation, allowing for optimized task initiation and scheduling in autonomous mode.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Productivity

If an autonomous machine performs compaction tasks without human operator control, then productivity is enhanced and human resources are reduced, but it becomes difficult for supervisors to determine task completion time

Engineering Contradiction:
ImproveproductivityVSAvoidcompletion time information
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The system implements feedback by continuously monitoring task progress through sensors and GPS tracking, then communicating this information back to the controller which updates the estimated completion time. This closed-loop feedback mechanism ensures supervisors receive real-time information about autonomous machine performance without requiring human operator input.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Solution Approach 2:

The controller acts as an intermediary between the autonomous machine's operational data and the supervisor's information needs. It processes raw sensor data, calculates estimated completion times based on multiple parameters, and presents this processed information to supervisors, bridging the information gap created by autonomous operation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Productivity

If task completion time is not accurately determined, then resource utilization and worksite scheduling cannot be optimized

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveresource utilizationVSAvoidscheduling efficiency
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary calculations of estimated completion times before tasks are fully executed. By analyzing task parameters, machine performance characteristics, and environmental conditions in advance, the controller provides supervisors with forecasted completion times that enable proactive scheduling and resource allocation decisions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system continuously updates estimated completion times during task execution based on real-time progress feedback. This dynamic adjustment allows supervisors to optimize scheduling decisions as tasks progress, improving both resource utilization and time management through accurate, up-to-date information.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS11693406B2Task completion time estimation for an autonomous machine
Publication Date: 2023.07.04 CATERPILLAR PAVING PROD INC
  • US11693406B2 patent drawing
  • US11693406B2 patent drawing
  • US11693406B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A machine is disclosed. The machine may include at least one of a propulsion system or a steering system configured to operate under automatic control in an autonomous mode of the machine; and a controller configured to obtain one or more parameters associated with a task that is to be performed in the autonomous mode, determine an estimated completion time for the task based on the one or more parameters associated with the task, and perform one or more actions based on the estimated completion time for the task.