Capacity Forecasting for Backup Storage Using Linear Regression

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Solution Overview

Problem

Backup storage systems face challenges in predicting when they will reach full capacity, leading to urgent and costly additions of storage devices to prevent data loss, especially in large distributed systems where manual monitoring is impractical.

Innovation Solution

A capacity forecasting system that uses linear regression analysis on historical data to predict when a backup storage system will reach full capacity, allowing for planned additions of storage devices and optimizing capacity usage by extrapolating current usage patterns.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If additional storage devices are added quickly to prevent data loss, then data reliability is improved, but system cost increases due to urgency

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedata reliabilityVSAvoidsystem cost
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSQuantity of substance

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs capacity forecasting using linear regression analysis on historical data to predict when the backup storage system will reach full capacity. This allows administrators to plan and schedule storage device additions in advance, rather than reacting urgently when capacity is exhausted, thereby reducing costs while maintaining data reliability.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Measurement precision

If manual monitoring of storage capacity is performed, then capacity control accuracy is improved, but labor cost increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecapacity control accuracyVSAvoidlabor cost
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSQuantity of substance

Solution Approach 1:

The backup storage system automatically performs capacity forecasting using linear regression analysis on historical capacity data. The system self-monitors and predicts its own capacity needs without requiring manual intervention, thereby maintaining high measurement precision while eliminating labor costs associated with manual monitoring.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

3Productivity

If storage devices are added in advance based on forecasting, then productivity is improved by avoiding full capacity situations, but device complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvestorage efficiencyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system uses linear regression analysis on historical capacity data to create a forecasting model that continuously monitors and predicts future capacity needs. This feedback mechanism allows the system to automatically identify when storage devices should be added, improving productivity by preventing full capacity situations while managing complexity through automated analysis rather than manual planning.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS9251051B2Capacity forecasting for backup storage
Publication Date: 2016.02.02 EMC IP HLDG CO LLC
  • US9251051B2 patent drawing
  • US9251051B2 patent drawing
  • US9251051B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A system for capacity forecasting for backup storage comprises a processor and a memory. The processor is configured to determine a selected statistical analysis from the set of statistical analysis for subsets of a set of capacities at points in time; forecast a full capacity time based at least in part on the selected statistical analysis; and determine that the full capacity time is qualified. The memory is coupled to the processor and configured to provide the processor with instructions.