Automated Risk Analysis System for Bank Capital Modeling

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current methods for banks and financial institutions require advanced statistical and financial modeling expertise to analyze credit and market risks, and lack automated systems for integrated analysis and easy interpretation of results, making it impractical to manually evaluate thousands of potential scenarios for credit lending and market investments.

Innovation Solution

The Project Economics Analysis Tool (PEAT) software implements advanced analytical techniques and algorithms for credit risk, market risk, operational risk, and liquidity analysis, using Monte Carlo simulations and business statistics to automatically run statistical tests and generate easily interpretable Key Risk Indicator (KRI) reports and charts.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Productivity

If manual analysis methods are used for credit and market risk evaluation, then users can interpret results with basic knowledge, but the system cannot handle thousands of potential scenarios efficiently

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvescenario evaluation capacityVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent introduces an automated analysis system that acts as an intermediary between raw financial data and decision-makers. This system incorporates advanced statistical models, Monte Carlo simulations, and machine learning algorithms to automatically evaluate thousands of credit and market risk scenarios, transforming complex data into interpretable reports without requiring users to manually process each scenario

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent replaces manual mechanical analysis processes with automated computational systems. Instead of relying on human analysts to manually evaluate each scenario, the system uses computer-based statistical models and simulations to automatically process thousands of scenarios, dramatically increasing productivity while maintaining interpretability through structured report generation

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

2Productivity

If automated analysis systems are implemented, then scenario evaluation capacity increases, but users require advanced statistical and financial modeling expertise to operate and interpret results

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveautomated scenario analysisVSAvoiduser expertise requirement
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSEase of operation

Solution Approach 1:

The patent implements feedback mechanisms where the automated system continuously refines its analysis based on user interactions and results. The system provides structured reports with confidence intervals, sensitivity analyses, and scenario comparisons that give feedback to users about the reliability and implications of results, enabling users to make informed decisions without needing deep statistical expertise

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Solution Approach 2:

The patent designs the system to be self-explanatory and self-sufficient. The automated analysis system generates comprehensive reports that include interpretations of results, confidence levels, and actionable insights, allowing users to operate and interpret results independently without requiring advanced statistical or financial modeling expertise

Inventive Principle:
Principle #25Self-service

3Ease of operation

If integrated automated analysis is implemented, then ease of operation improves, but the system cannot provide detailed descriptions coupled with numerical results and charts for easy interpretation

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveautomated analysis executionVSAvoiddetailed result description
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of operationVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the analysis output into multiple structured components: numerical results, statistical metrics, confidence intervals, sensitivity analyses, and visual charts. Each segment addresses specific aspects of the risk evaluation, ensuring that detailed information is preserved and organized in a way that is easy to navigate and interpret without overwhelming the user

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Data Source

PatentUS10453142B2System and method for modeling and quantifying regulatory capital, key risk indicators, probability of default, exposure at default, loss given default, liquidity ratios, and value at risk, within the areas of asset liability management, credit risk, market risk, operational risk, and liquidity risk for banks
Publication Date: 2019.10.22 MUN JOHNATHAN
  • US10453142B2 patent drawing
  • US10453142B2 patent drawing
  • US10453142B2 patent drawing

AI summary

The present invention is in the field of modeling and quantifying Regulatory Capital, Key Risk Indicators, Probability of Default, Exposure at Default, Loss Given Default, Liquidity Ratios, and Value at Risk, using quantitative models, Monte Carlo risk simulations, credit models, and business statistics, and relates to the modeling and analysis of Asset Liability Management, Credit Risk, Market Risk, Operational Risk, and Liquidity Risk for banks or financial institutions, allowing these firms to properly identify, assess, quantify, value, diversify, hedge, and generate periodic regulatory reports for supervisory authorities and Central Banks on their credit, market, and operational risk areas.