Bayesian GNSS Protection Levels for Multi-Frequency Vehicle Location

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing methods for determining protection levels in GNSS-based locating systems for autonomous driving are not suitable for multi-frequency and multi-constellation reception, leading to large position uncertainties and oversized protection levels due to environmental conditions and stringent accuracy demands.

Innovation Solution

A method using a Bayes' framework to determine protection levels by providing a first probability distribution based on training data, determining GNSS quality indicators epoch by epoch, and applying Bayes' theorem to calculate protection levels using multivariate, bivariate, or univariate conditional distributions.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Adaptability or versatility

If known integrity algorithms from aviation (ABSA, GBAS, SBAS) are used for autonomous driving, then single-frequency reception is sufficient, but multi-frequency and multi-constellation reception cannot be properly utilized leading to large position uncertainties

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvemulti-frequency and multi-constellation reception capabilityVSAvoidposition uncertainty
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent transforms the protection level determination from a single-value calculation to a probabilistic distribution approach. By modeling the protection level as a random variable with probability distribution functions that incorporate multiple frequency and constellation parameters, the system can properly utilize multi-frequency and multi-constellation reception data to reduce position uncertainty while maintaining adaptability to different GNSS configurations.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Reliability

If ARAIM concept with multi-frequency and multi-constellation reception is implemented, then ionospheric delay and measurement redundancy improve, but computational complexity and difficulty of implementation increase significantly

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveintegrity monitoring reliabilityVSAvoidcomputational complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces the complex mechanical/computational system of traditional ARAIM protection level calculations with a probabilistic modeling approach. Instead of directly computing protection levels through complex iterative algorithms, the system uses probability distribution functions and statistical methods to model the uncertainty and determine protection levels, significantly reducing computational complexity while maintaining or improving reliability.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent changes the fundamental parameter representation from deterministic values to probabilistic distributions. By expressing protection levels, position errors, and measurement uncertainties as random variables with associated probability distributions, the system simplifies the computational framework while incorporating the benefits of multi-frequency and multi-constellation reception for improved reliability.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

3Measurement precision

If stringent alert limits and time to alert requirements for autonomous driving are applied, then positioning accuracy demands increase, but protection levels become oversized leading to excessive false alarms

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepositioning accuracyVSAvoidfalse alarm rate
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSReliability

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies partial action by using probabilistic thresholds rather than fixed deterministic thresholds for protection level determination. Instead of applying a single stringent alert limit that causes excessive false alarms, the system uses probability distribution functions to determine dynamic protection levels that adapt to current signal conditions, achieving the required positioning accuracy while maintaining appropriate false alarm rates.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent introduces dynamics into the protection level determination by making protection levels time-varying and condition-dependent. Instead of static alert limits, the system continuously updates protection levels based on current GNSS signal quality, geometric dilution of precision, and other dynamic parameters, allowing the system to meet stringent accuracy demands without causing excessive false alarms in varying environmental conditions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #15Dynamics

Data Source

PatentUS20250291061A1Method for Determining Protection Levels of a GNSS-Based Locating System for a Vehicle Using a Bayes' Framework
Publication Date: 2025.09.18 ROBERT BOSCH GMBH
  • US20250291061A1 patent drawing
  • US20250291061A1 patent drawing
  • US20250291061A1 patent drawing

AI summary

A method for determining protection levels of a GNSS-based locating system for a vehicle is disclosed. The method includes providing at least one first probability distribution for a safety-relevant error as a function of GNSS quality indicators with the aid of training data such that the GNSS quality indicators were predetermined as random variables of the at least one first probability distribution based on the training data, the values of which can be determined epoch by epoch while the vehicle is traveling, wherein the at least one first probability distribution was stored in advance and can be used to determine protection levels while the vehicle is traveling. The method further includes determining protection levels while the vehicle is traveling with the following sub-steps (i) determining the values of the respective GNSS quality indicators for the current epoch, (ii) determining a posteriori distribution from the at least one first probability distribution with the determined values of the respective GNSS quality indicators based on Bayes' theorem, (iii) determining a protection level from the posteriori distribution for the current epoch, and (iv) repeating the sub-steps (i) to (iii) for determining a protection level for the next epoch.