Bayesian Risk Projection for Personalized IMD Therapy Settings

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Solution Overview

Problem

Existing medical device systems struggle to provide personalized risk assessments for individual patients, relying on population-based data rather than customized calculations for implantable medical devices, which can lead to suboptimal therapy delivery configurations.

Innovation Solution

Utilizing Bayesian Network models trained on patient-specific data to generate personalized risk assessments and therapy configuration recommendations for implantable medical devices, such as ICDs and CRT-Ds, incorporating patient and device-specific inputs and unique use conditions.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Adaptability or versatility

If population-based data is used for risk assessment, then generalizability is improved, but personalization is worsened

Engineering Contradiction:
ImprovepersonalizationVSAvoidrisk assessment accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments the patient population into distinct subgroups based on clinical characteristics, device parameters, and outcome data. By creating segmented cohorts rather than using a single population-based model, the system achieves both personalization for individual patients and generalizability through statistically powered subgroup analyses, resolving the contradiction between personalized adaptation and measurement precision.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

2Adaptability or versatility

If customized risk calculations are performed for each patient, then personalization is improved, but computational complexity is worsened

Engineering Contradiction:
ImprovecustomizationVSAvoidmodel complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent performs preliminary actions by pre-calculating risk models for multiple patient subgroups and device configurations before clinical deployment. During actual use, the system simply matches the patient's characteristics to pre-computed models rather than performing complex real-time calculations, thereby achieving customization without excessive computational complexity.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system manages complexity by changing parameters in a structured manner - using discrete categorical variables for patient subgroups and device settings rather than continuous complex parameters. This parameter discretization allows customized risk calculations while maintaining computational tractability through standardized model inputs.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

3Adaptability or versatility

If multiple device configurations are evaluated, then adaptability is improved, but analysis time is worsened

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveconfiguration optionsVSAvoiddecision-making time
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies local quality by providing tailored risk assessments and configuration recommendations specific to each patient's characteristics and clinical scenario. Rather than evaluating all possible configurations universally, the system focuses computational resources on the most relevant configurations for each patient, achieving adaptability while reducing analysis time through targeted evaluation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #3Local quality

Data Source

PatentUS20260045332A1Bayesian network-based risk projection for implantable medical devices
Publication Date: 2026.02.12 MEDTRONIC INC
  • US20260045332A1 patent drawing
  • US20260045332A1 patent drawing
  • US20260045332A1 patent drawing

AI summary

An example system includes a memory configured to store cardiac data associated with a patient population within a Bayesian network structure describing cardiac health events for the patient population. The system may apply new patient data to an Artificial Intelligence model (AI model) trained using the Bayesian network structure to output a risk-benefit assessment specific to a particular patient implantable medical device (IMD). The output may include selectable configuration recommendations and a corresponding risk probability for each configuration. Subsequent to the output, the system may receive clinician input selecting one of the configuration recommendations for the patient IMD. Responsive to receipt of the clinician input, the system may configure delivery of a therapy via the patient IMD using the one of the multiple configuration recommendations selected according to the clinician input.