Bayesian Multi-Level Model for Online Course Remediation

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Solution Overview

Problem

Teachers and students lack visibility into factors influencing course quality and student success in online education, limiting their ability to optimize instructional time and provide targeted support for challenging concepts, leading to suboptimal learning outcomes.

Innovation Solution

A Bayesian multi-level model that integrates courseware, student, institutional, and teacher data to predict problematic areas and generate targeted remediations, providing personalized insights and resources to both instructors and learners.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If comprehensive data collection and Bayesian multi-level modeling are implemented, then prediction accuracy and personalized remediation effectiveness are improved, but system complexity and computational requirements increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveprediction accuracyVSAvoidsystem complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system segments data collection into four distinct levels (courseware, student, institutional, teacher) and processes them through separate Bayesian multi-level models. This segmentation allows complex data to be managed in organized layers, improving prediction accuracy while maintaining manageable system complexity through structured decomposition.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The Bayesian multi-level model acts as an intermediary between raw data at multiple levels and the final predictions/remediation recommendations. This intermediary processing layer integrates information from all data sources systematically, transforming complex multi-level data into actionable insights while managing computational complexity through established statistical frameworks.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

2Speed

If real-time data collection and analysis are performed, then responsiveness to student needs is improved, but processing time and computational resources increase

Engineering Contradiction:
ImproveresponsivenessVSAvoidprocessing time
Core Design Contradiction:
SpeedVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system continuously collects and stores data at multiple levels in real-time, preparing it for future analysis. By maintaining ready-access data structures and using pre-established Bayesian models, the system can quickly generate predictions and remediation recommendations without performing complex computations at the moment of need, thus improving responsiveness while minimizing processing time delays.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

3Adaptability or versatility

If multiple data levels are integrated, then comprehensive insights and personalized recommendations are improved, but data management complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepersonalization capabilityVSAvoiddata management complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Adaptability or versatilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The data management system segments information into four distinct hierarchical levels (courseware, student, institutional, teacher), each with its own data collection and storage mechanisms. This segmentation enables comprehensive multi-level integration while simplifying data management through structured organization, allowing the system to handle complex data relationships systematically.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The Bayesian multi-level model serves multiple functions simultaneously: it processes data from all four levels, generates predictions, identifies problematic areas, and creates personalized remediation recommendations. This multi-functional approach enables comprehensive insights and strong personalization capabilities while managing data complexity through a unified analytical framework that handles diverse data types systematically.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

Data Source

PatentUS11455903B2Performing a remediation based on a Bayesian multilevel model prediction
Publication Date: 2022.09.27 PEARSON EDUCATION INC
  • US11455903B2 patent drawing
  • US11455903B2 patent drawing
  • US11455903B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A website may track online activities, such as assignments and/or assessment, of students taking online digital courses (courses). Courseware-level data and student-level data may be extracted from the tracked online activities and as well as student registration data. Institutional-level data may be generated from data regarding the institutions that teach the courses. Teacher-level data may be generated for the teachers teaching the courses. A teacher or student may request on a website an analysis of a course. Data for the course may be weighted in the courseware-level data. Data for the student(s), institution and/or teacher may also be weighted, depending on the desired analysis. A Bayesian multi-level model may generate a plurality of posterior distributions using the collected data. A prediction of a difficult subject matter may be determined from the plurality of posterior distributions and used to select a targeted remediation that may be performed on a website.