Bayesian Regression for Vehicle Control Unit Parameter Prediction

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Solution Overview

Problem

Current methods for determining critical variables in vehicle control units, such as exhaust gas temperature and emission values, are either expensive or lack accuracy, especially for complex combustion processes, and do not provide reliable control strategies.

Innovation Solution

Implementing non-parametric data-based Bayesian regression, specifically using Gaussian processes, to predict variables in real-time, which reduces prior knowledge requirements and computational effort, and allows for more accurate control by considering variance in output variables.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Ease of manufacture

If characteristic maps or simplified physical models are used to determine critical parameters, then the implementation cost is reduced, but the predictive accuracy and reliability deteriorate

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveimplementation costVSAvoidpredictive accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Ease of manufactureVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The patent changes the mathematical approach from traditional characteristic maps or simplified physical models to Bayesian regression methods. This parameter change in the calculation methodology enables accurate prediction of critical combustion parameters while maintaining real-time computational feasibility, thus achieving both accuracy and cost-effectiveness

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Solution Approach 2:

The patent replaces complex physical modeling approaches with a data-driven Bayesian regression system. This substitution eliminates the need for complex mechanical/physical models while achieving superior predictive accuracy through statistical learning from measurement data

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

2Measurement precision

If non-parametric data-based Bayesian regression is implemented, then the predictive accuracy and reliability improve, but the computational effort and memory requirements increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvepredictive accuracyVSAvoidcomputational burden
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSUse of energy by moving object

Solution Approach 1:

The patent performs preliminary computation during an offline calibration phase, pre-calculating and storing necessary parameters and models. This preliminary action transfers computational burden from real-time operation to offline setup, enabling fast real-time predictions with reduced computational effort during actual vehicle operation

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent segments the computational process into offline calibration phase and online real-time phase. The offline phase handles intensive computation for model training and parameter identification, while the online phase executes lightweight predictions, thus distributing computational load effectively

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

3Device complexity

If traditional characteristic curves are used, then the device complexity is low, but the ability to handle multidimensional relationships deteriorates

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecontrol method complexityVSAvoidhandling multidimensional relationships
Core Design Contradiction:
Device complexityVSAdaptability or versatility

Solution Approach 1:

The patent transitions from one-dimensional characteristic curves to multidimensional Bayesian regression models. This dimensional expansion enables the system to capture complex multidimensional relationships between multiple input parameters and output variables, significantly improving adaptability while maintaining computational feasibility through the offline-online computation strategy

Inventive Principle:
Principle #17Another dimension (Dimensionality change)

Data Source

PatentEP2564049B1Control device and method for calculating an output parameter for a controller
Publication Date: 2020.02.26 ROBERT BOSCH GMBH
  • EP2564049B1 patent drawingFigure 1~2a
  • EP2564049B1 patent drawingFigure 2b~3b
  • EP2564049B1 patent drawingFigure 4~5

AI summary

The invention relates to a control device in a vehicle, having means for calculating at least one output parameter for a controller of functions of the vehicle during operation of the vehicle on the basis of at least one input parameter determined during operation. The control device thereby comprises means for carrying out the calculation of the output parameter using a Bayesian regression of training values determined for the output parameter and the input parameter prior to operation.