Bayesian Service Value Forecasting for Purchase Timing
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Solution Overview
Problem
Existing systems struggle to determine optimal times for resource transfers of temporal resources like services due to irregular fluctuations in their values over time, making it difficult for recipient entities to predict future pricing and make informed acquisition decisions.
Innovation Solution
A system utilizing a Bayesian network and machine learning (ML) data system component to analyze historical data and predict future resource values, enabling users to make informed decisions by constructing dynamic resource values and service level parameters.
Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles
Engineering Contradiction Analysis
1Measurement precision
If historical data is collected and analyzed using Bayesian networks and machine learning, then prediction accuracy of future resource values is improved, but system complexity and data processing requirements increase
Solution Approach 1:
The system performs preliminary actions by collecting and storing historical resource value data before predictions are needed. The Bayesian network and machine learning models are pre-trained on historical data from multiple sources (supplier bids, contracts, organizational reports, prior purchases) so that when a prediction is needed, the system can quickly generate accurate predictions without performing complex real-time analysis
Solution Approach 2:
The patent introduces a Bayesian network as an intermediary between raw historical data and prediction outputs. This intermediary structure processes and integrates data from multiple sources (supplier bid data, contract data, organization reports, prior purchase data) in a structured manner, managing complexity by providing a standardized framework for data integration and analysis
2Loss of information
If multiple data sources are integrated including supplier bids, contracts, organizational reports, and prior purchases, then comprehensiveness of analysis is improved, but data processing time and computational resources increase
Solution Approach 1:
The patent segments the comprehensive data analysis into distinct modular components: supplier bid data module, contract data module, organization reports module, and prior purchase data module. Each module processes specific types of data independently and feeds results to the Bayesian network, allowing parallel processing and reducing overall computation time while maintaining comprehensive analysis
Solution Approach 2:
Historical data from all four sources is collected, stored, and pre-processed before prediction operations. The system maintains databases of supplier bid data, contract data, organization reports, and prior purchase data in advance, so that when predictions are needed, the system queries pre-organized data rather than processing raw data in real-time
Data Source
AI summary
The present invention relates to system, method and computer program product for customized processing temporal resources and constructing resource values. The system comprises a computer-executable platform comprising a resource value construction module that is structured to access a data storage module and determine a resource value offer of the resource. The system further comprises a Bayesian network connected to the computer-executable platform. Moreover, the system comprises a user interface connected to the Bayesian network, the user interface comprising: a selection module that is structured to receive a user section of an indication of resource; and a management module that allows the user to manage the information of the resources via the user interface.


