Neural Bio Event Prediction With Time and Risk Outputs
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Solution Overview
Problem
Conventional methods for predicting bio events using deep learning models provide limited information, making it difficult to determine which patients are at higher risk and require immediate intervention.
Innovation Solution
An artificial neural network model is used to generate a first output indicating the expected time of occurrence and a second output indicating the possibility of a bio event, enabling comprehensive prediction information to prioritize patient care based on these outputs.
Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles
Engineering Contradiction Analysis
1Reliability
If a deep learning model is used to predict bio events, then prediction capability is improved, but the information provided is limited and insufficient for prioritizing patient care
Solution Approach 1:
The prediction output is segmented into multiple distinct components: a binary prediction indicating whether a bio event will occur within a predetermined time period, and a continuous prediction indicating the expected time of occurrence. This segmentation allows each component to serve specific clinical decision-making purposes while collectively providing comprehensive prediction information that resolves the information loss problem.
2Device complexity
If only binary prediction is provided, then model complexity is reduced, but the ability to prioritize patients is insufficient
Solution Approach 1:
The prediction system transitions from a single-dimensional binary output to a multi-dimensional output structure that includes both temporal information (expected time of occurrence) and probabilistic information (likelihood within predetermined time). This dimensional expansion enables clinicians to prioritize patients based on both when and how likely a bio event is to occur, significantly improving ease of operation for patient triage.
3Ease of operation
If comprehensive prediction information is generated, then patient prioritization is improved, but computational requirements increase
Solution Approach 1:
The artificial neural network model is pre-trained to simultaneously generate both binary and continuous prediction outputs during the training phase. This preliminary action of learning multiple prediction tasks concurrently allows the model to produce comprehensive prediction information without requiring additional computational resources during actual inference, as the multi-output generation is already embedded in the model architecture.
Data Source
AI summary
According to an embodiment of the present disclosure, disclosed is a method for predicting a bio event. Specifically, according to the present disclosure, a computing device obtains bio information of a patient; and generates a first output indicating an expected time of occurrence of the bio event based on the bio information by using a pre-trained artificial neural network model.


