Carbon Emissions Risk Quantification System

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Solution Overview

Problem

Financial institutions face challenges in effectively managing and mitigating climate change-related risks due to the lack of coherent systems for analyzing carbon emissions data and financial exposure data, which hinders their ability to form a comprehensive view of historical performance and future plans for climate change management and portfolio strategy optimization.

Innovation Solution

A system and method that determine carbon emissions risk for counterparties by combining carbon emissions data with financial exposure data, using quantitative models and future scenarios to optimize carbon risk profiles, allowing institutions to analyze, strategize, and alter their carbon risk exposure, while incorporating externally sourced carbon scenarios and setting targets for financial investments.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Loss of information

If financial institutions use traditional separate systems for carbon emissions data and financial exposure data, then data collection is simpler, but the ability to form a coherent view of climate risk exposure is insufficient

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomprehensiveness of climate risk viewVSAvoidsystem integration complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of informationVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent merges carbon emissions data and financial exposure data into a unified analysis system. The system integrates data from multiple sources including carbon emissions databases, financial exposure databases, and scenario databases to create a comprehensive view of climate risk exposure, resolving the information loss caused by separate systems.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #5Merging (Combining)

Solution Approach 2:

The system performs multiple functions within a single platform: data collection, data integration, scenario analysis, risk calculation, and strategy optimization. This multi-functional approach provides a coherent view of climate risk while maintaining system manageability through standardized processing methods.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #6Universality (Multi-functionality)

2Productivity

If financial institutions implement comprehensive climate risk analysis systems, then portfolio strategy optimization is improved, but computational complexity and processing requirements increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveportfolio optimization efficiencyVSAvoidcomputational system complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system pre-processes and standardizes carbon emissions data and financial exposure data before analysis. Scenarios are pre-defined with established parameters, and the system pre-calculates baseline risk metrics, reducing computational complexity during actual portfolio optimization operations.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The analysis system segments the portfolio into manageable components, analyzing carbon risk exposure at different levels (individual instruments, sectors, geographies). This segmentation allows complex portfolio optimization to be broken down into smaller, more tractable computational tasks.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

3Measurement precision

If financial institutions use multiple scenarios for climate risk analysis, then future risk projection accuracy is improved, but data interpretation complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvefuture risk projection accuracyVSAvoidscenario data interpretation difficulty
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSDifficulty of detecting and measuring

Solution Approach 1:

The system provides feedback mechanisms that compare results across multiple scenarios, highlighting divergences and convergences in climate risk projections. This feedback helps users interpret scenario data by showing relative risks and identifying robust risk factors that persist across different scenario assumptions.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Solution Approach 2:

The system acts as an intermediary that standardizes and harmonizes data from multiple scenario sources. It translates different scenario frameworks into a common analytical structure, making scenario data interpretation more manageable while preserving the nuanced differences between scenarios.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

4Measurement precision

If financial institutions integrate carbon emissions data with financial exposure data, then carbon risk quantification is improved, but data quality requirements and processing standards increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecarbon risk quantification accuracyVSAvoiddata processing standard stringency
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSManufacturing precision

Solution Approach 1:

The system employs parameter changes and transformations to harmonize data from different sources. It applies standardization transformations to carbon emissions data and financial exposure data, converting them into compatible formats with unified measurement standards, thereby improving quantification accuracy while managing data quality requirements.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Data Source

PatentUS11328361B2System and method for carbon emissions exposure determination
Publication Date: 2022.05.10 MORGAN STANLEY SERVICES GROUP INC
  • US11328361B2 patent drawing
  • US11328361B2 patent drawing
  • US11328361B2 patent drawing

AI summary

A system and method may determine the carbon emissions risk to an institution through its lending and investment activities to a plurality of counterparties by, for example, determining carbon emissions data for a number of counterparties and, for each counterparty, determining the carbon emissions risk to the institution. A system and method may determine the proportion of total capital of a counterparty that is being financed by a bank, and multiply this by a carbon emissions measure for the counterparty. Embodiments may be applied to determine optimal investment strategies for managing an institution's exposures to carbon risk over time. Such measures may be altered or projected using scenarios describing future emissions data.