Ceiling Prediction Model for Item Category Content Filtering

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Solution Overview

Problem

Conventional online systems inefficiently use display area and computational resources by presenting content for item categories where users have reached their ceiling, leading to reduced item inclusion and increased interaction without accounting for user ceilings.

Innovation Solution

An online system determines user ceilings for item categories using a trained ceiling prediction model, leveraging order information, contextual data, and previous orders to optimize content presentation and resource allocation.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Productivity

If conventional online systems present content for all item categories without determining user ceilings, then complete item coverage is provided, but display area is wasted and computational resources are inefficiently used

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecomputational resource efficiencyVSAvoiddisplay area utilization
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary determination of user ceilings for item categories before presenting content. By using a trained ceiling prediction model to forecast maximum quantities users will purchase for each item category in advance, the system filters out categories where users have reached their ceilings, thereby optimizing display area utilization and reducing computational waste on evaluating irrelevant content.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

2Productivity

If user ceilings are determined using a trained prediction model, then content presentation is optimized and resources are reduced, but system complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecontent presentation efficiencyVSAvoidsystem architecture complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ProductivityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The system introduces a trained ceiling prediction model as an intermediary component between the user profile database and the content presentation system. This model takes user historical order data and item category information as input, predicts user ceilings for each category, and outputs filtered recommendations. The intermediary layer manages the complexity by encapsulating the prediction logic, allowing the rest of the system to operate with simplified data flows while still achieving optimized content presentation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #24Intermediary (Mediator)

3Area of stationary object

If the system filters content based on predicted user ceilings, then display area is optimized, but measurement precision of user intent is required

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvedisplay area allocationVSAvoidceiling prediction accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Area of stationary objectVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The system implements feedback mechanisms where actual user purchase quantities are compared against predicted ceilings. When users interact with content or make purchases, the system updates the prediction model with new data, refining future ceiling predictions. This feedback loop continuously improves measurement precision by learning from actual user behavior patterns, ensuring that display area allocation becomes increasingly accurate over time while adapting to changing user preferences.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS20260065345A1Using a machine learning model to predict a user's quantity ceiling for different categories of items in a catalog
Publication Date: 2026.03.05 MAPLEBEAR INC
  • US20260065345A1 patent drawing
  • US20260065345A1 patent drawing
  • US20260065345A1 patent drawing

AI summary

An online system trains a ceiling prediction model to determine a user's ceiling for one or more item categories. The user's ceiling for an item category is a maximum amount of an item within the item category the user is likely to include in an order. Based on previously fulfilled orders for the user, information describing a current order from the user, and contextual information about the order, the ceiling prediction model determines the user's ceiling for an item category. The online system leverages the user's ceiling for an item category to refine content about different items that is selected for presentation to a user. For example, the online system determines whether the order includes a quantity of items from an item category that equals the user's ceiling for the item category when determining which items to present to the user.