Channel Incrementality Ratio Generation Using Machine Learning

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Solution Overview

Problem

Assessing the efficiency of digital traffic channels is complex and inefficient, as existing methods like online controlled incrementality testing waste resources, time, and provide reduced accuracy.

Innovation Solution

A method using a machine learning model to programmatically generate a channel incrementality ratio based on historical data, including transaction and touchpoint timestamps, sorted lists, and weighting factors for each channel.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Measurement precision

If online controlled incrementality testing is used to assess channel efficiency, then measurement capability is provided, but resource waste increases and time consumption increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvechannel efficiency assessment accuracyVSAvoidresource waste
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of energy

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary actions by collecting and storing touchpoint and transaction data in advance through data extraction modules. Historical data is pre-processed and stored in databases, allowing the machine learning model to generate incrementality ratios without requiring real-time controlled testing, thereby eliminating resource waste while maintaining measurement accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system creates a virtual copy of the controlled testing environment by using machine learning models to simulate incrementality measurements. Instead of conducting actual controlled experiments that consume resources, the system generates predictive incrementality ratios from historical data copies, achieving the same measurement objective without the associated resource costs.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #26Copying

2Measurement precision

If online controlled incrementality testing is used to assess channel efficiency, then measurement capability is provided, but time consumption increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvechannel efficiency assessment accuracyVSAvoidtime consumption
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The system performs preliminary data collection and model training in advance. Historical touchpoint and transaction data are continuously accumulated and pre-processed, allowing the machine learning model to generate incrementality ratios instantaneously when needed, eliminating the time-consuming controlled testing process while maintaining measurement precision.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The system replaces time-consuming controlled experiments with a virtual copying approach using machine learning models. The model learns from historical data patterns and generates predictive measurements without requiring actual testing time, thus dramatically reducing time consumption while preserving measurement accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #26Copying

3Loss of energy

If machine learning model is used to generate channel incrementality ratio, then resource waste is reduced and time consumption is reduced, but measurement precision may be compromised

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveresource efficiencyVSAvoidincrementality ratio accuracy
Core Design Contradiction:
Loss of energyVSMeasurement precision

Solution Approach 1:

The system optimizes measurement precision by carefully selecting and adjusting key parameters including the attribution window period, the specific features fed to the machine learning model, and the model architecture itself. These parameter optimizations ensure that the model generates accurate incrementality ratios from historical data without requiring resource-intensive controlled testing.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Solution Approach 2:

The system implements feedback mechanisms where the generated incrementality ratios are continuously validated and the machine learning model is retrained with new data. This feedback loop ensures measurement precision is maintained and improved over time, compensating for any potential accuracy loss from not conducting controlled experiments.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #23Feedback

Data Source

PatentUS12212797B2Method, system, and apparatus for programmatically generating a channel incrementality ratio
Publication Date: 2025.01.28 BYTEDANCE INC
  • US12212797B2 patent drawing
  • US12212797B2 patent drawing
  • US12212797B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Embodiments of the present disclosure provide methods, systems, and apparatuses for computing a channel incrementality ratio using a machine learning model.