Churn Prediction Model Using Segmented User Data Filtering

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Solution Overview

Problem

Social networking systems face challenges in efficiently utilizing vast amounts of user data to predict user churn, making it difficult to determine relevant information and draw accurate conclusions about user tendencies and preferences.

Innovation Solution

A churn prediction model is trained using past user information and churn data, which includes user-connection entity affiliations and usage time, to calculate a churn propensity score indicative of a user's likelihood to churn, allowing for filtering and ranking of users based on this score.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Quantity of substance

If vast amounts of user data are collected for churn prediction, then the quantity of available information increases, but the difficulty of determining relevant information and drawing accurate conclusions increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvequantity of user dataVSAvoiddifficulty of determining relevant information
Core Design Contradiction:
Quantity of substanceVSDifficulty of detecting and measuring

Solution Approach 1:

The patent segments user data into distinct categories including user attributes, connection entity affiliations, and usage information. This segmentation allows the system to organize vast amounts of data into manageable components, making it easier to identify relevant features for churn prediction while maintaining comprehensive data utilization.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #1Segmentation

Solution Approach 2:

The patent extracts specific relevant features from the vast user data through filtering criteria that identify meaningful patterns. The system extracts key user-connection entity affiliations and usage metrics that are most predictive of churn, separating signal from noise in the large dataset to improve prediction accuracy.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #2Taking out (Extraction)

2Quantity of substance

If all user data is used for training the churn prediction model, then the completeness of training data increases, but the computational complexity and processing time increase

Engineering Contradiction:
Improvecompleteness of training dataVSAvoidcomputational complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
Quantity of substanceVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies partial action by using filtering criteria to select only the most relevant subset of user data for model training. Rather than processing all available data equally, the system identifies and processes key features that have the highest predictive value for churn, reducing computational complexity while maintaining model effectiveness.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent changes parameters by applying usage time thresholds and filtering criteria that transform the raw data into a optimized training set. These parameter changes enable the system to work with a refined dataset that maintains completeness of important information while reducing overall data volume and computational requirements.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

3Measurement precision

If user-specific usage time thresholds are applied to filter data, then the relevance of training data improves, but the loss of potentially useful information increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improverelevance of training dataVSAvoidloss of potentially useful information
Core Design Contradiction:
Measurement precisionVSLoss of information

Solution Approach 1:

The patent uses parameter changes by adjusting usage time thresholds to optimize the balance between data relevance and information retention. The filtering criteria are configured to remove only clearly irrelevant data while preserving borderline cases that may contain valuable predictive signals, thus maintaining measurement precision without excessive information loss.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

Solution Approach 2:

The system applies partial filtering action by using multiple filtering criteria including both user-specific and population-specific thresholds. This layered approach allows the system to be selective about what data to exclude, keeping potentially useful information that doesn't meet strict thresholds while still improving overall data relevance through targeted filtering.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

Data Source

PatentUS10949771B2Systems and methods for churn prediction
Publication Date: 2021.03.16 META PLATFORMS INC
  • US10949771B2 patent drawing
  • US10949771B2 patent drawing
  • US10949771B2 patent drawing

AI summary

Systems, methods, and non-transitory computer-readable media can collect past user information and churn data for a plurality of users. A churn prediction model is trained using the past user information and churn data. A churn propensity score is calculated for a present user based on the churn prediction model, the churn propensity score indicative of the likelihood of the present user to churn.