Distributed Control Timing Uncertainty Modeling With Polynomial Chaos

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Solution Overview

Problem

Distributed control systems, such as platooning, are inadequately simulated deterministically, failing to account for stochastic uncertain timing effects like jitter and dead time, which are crucial for robust system design.

Innovation Solution

A method using intrusive polynomial chaos expansion (IPC) for stochastic representation of time-variant jitter and dead times in distributed control systems, enabling efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) to calculate mean values and deviations of control variables.

Engineering Contradictions & Design Principles

VSEngineering Contradiction Analysis

1Reliability

If deterministic simulation methods are used for distributed control systems, then the simulation is simple and fast, but it fails to account for stochastic uncertain timing effects like jitter and dead time

Engineering Contradiction:
Improveaccuracy of simulationVSAvoidsimulation complexity
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSDevice complexity

Solution Approach 1:

The patent replaces traditional deterministic simulation methods with a stochastic simulation approach using polynomial chaos expansion. This substitution transforms the simulation from a purely computational deterministic model to one that incorporates probabilistic mathematical frameworks, enabling accurate representation of uncertain timing effects while maintaining computational efficiency through the structured mathematical approach.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #28Mechanics substitution (Replace mechanical system)

Solution Approach 2:

The patent changes the fundamental parameters of the simulation by introducing stochastic parameters to represent uncertain timing effects. Instead of using fixed deterministic values for timing parameters, the invention employs random variables and probability distributions to model jitter and dead time, fundamentally altering how timing uncertainties are represented and processed in the simulation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #35Parameter changes

2Reliability

If stochastic effects are incorporated into the simulation, then the simulation accuracy improves, but the computational complexity increases

Engineering Contradiction:
Improverobustness of control systemVSAvoidsimulation time
Core Design Contradiction:
ReliabilityVSLoss of time

Solution Approach 1:

The patent applies preliminary action by pre-defining polynomial chaos basis functions and their statistical properties before running the main simulation. This preparatory step establishes the mathematical framework in advance, allowing the stochastic simulation to proceed efficiently by reusing pre-computed basis functions and avoiding redundant calculations during the actual uncertainty quantification process.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #10Preliminary action

Solution Approach 2:

The patent implements partial action by selectively applying polynomial chaos expansion only to the specific timing parameters that exhibit uncertainty (jitter and dead time), rather than transforming the entire simulation model. This targeted approach incorporates stochastic effects where needed while keeping the rest of the deterministic model intact, thereby reducing the overall computational burden compared to a fully stochastic transformation.

Inventive Principle:
Principle #16Partial or excessive action

Data Source

PatentUS20250273073A1Taking into account uncertain timing effects in distributed control systems
Publication Date: 2025.08.28 ROBERT BOSCH GMBH
  • US20250273073A1 patent drawing
  • US20250273073A1 patent drawing
  • US20250273073A1 patent drawing

AI summary

A computer-implemented method for evaluating uncertain timing effects when controlling distributed systems with respect to one or more control variables. The method includes calculating a next time step in a simulation of an intrusive surrogate model for a mean value of a dynamic model, a mean value of an output of the dynamic model being calculated, wherein the dynamic model is designed to calculate the one or more control variables as the output; and calculating the next time step in a simulation of an intrusive surrogate model for a deviation, including a variance, of the dynamic model from the mean value of the dynamic model, wherein a deviation, in particular the variance, of the output of the dynamic model is calculated; wherein the control of the distributed systems depends on at least a first uncertain timing effect, which is represented in the dynamic model by a first uncertain parameter.